澳大利亚一项新研究揭示了住房所有制与投票行为之间的显著关联，正在重塑该国的政治格局。[1][2]这项研究基于1996年至2022年间澳大利亚选举研究中超过19000人的调查数据，跨越十个时期进行分析。[1][2]研究显示，房屋完全所有者中45.6%投票支持联盟党，而租房者仅37.6%支持该党，两者相差11.4个百分点。[1][2]
租房者的政治倾向在过去二十多年间发生了显著转变。[1][2]投票给联盟党的租房者比例从1996年的44%下降至2022年的31%。[1][2]与此同时，租房者对绿党的支持率大幅上升，从1996年的3%增至2022年的20%。[1][2]研究证实住房所有制与左翼和右翼政党倾向呈现强烈且递增的关联。[1]随着住房负担能力持续恶化，租房者在成人人口中的比例不断上升，这一日益扩大的群体正在改写澳大利亚的政治版图。[1]
A new study analyzing Australian electoral behavior reveals a stark divide in voting preferences between homeowners and renters, with the latter increasingly turning toward the Greens and Labor parties.[1][2] Research based on survey data from over 19,000 respondents across ten election cycles between 1996 and 2022 demonstrates that housing ownership is closely tied to political allegiance.[1][2] Among full homeowners, 45.6% voted for the Coalition, compared to just 37.6% of renters supporting the conservative party.[1][2]
The shift in renter voting behavior has been particularly pronounced over the past quarter-century.[1][2] In 1996, 44% of renters supported the Coalition, but this figure declined to 31% by 2022, while support for the Greens among renters surged from 3% to 20% during the same period.[1][2] Renters now constitute 23% of the Greens' voter base, a significantly higher proportion than their representation among Coalition voters at 11% or Labor voters at 18%.[1] The research indicates that housing ownership and voting preferences for left-wing and right-wing parties show an increasingly strong correlation.[1] As housing affordability continues to deteriorate and the proportion of adult renters rises, this growing constituency is fundamentally reshaping Australia's political landscape.[1][2]
