乌克兰对俄罗斯炼油厂的攻击加剧燃料危机，或加速战争结束

乌克兰对俄罗斯炼油厂的持续攻击正在加剧该国的燃料危机。1至少30个俄罗斯地区因燃料短缺受到影响，莫斯科及周边地区尤为严重。1俄罗斯石油产量已从2019年的1150万桶/天急剧下降至不足900万桶/天。1

这场能源困境正对俄罗斯多个产业造成冲击。俄罗斯每天需要约20万吨燃油和柴油，目前的短缺已导致物流、建筑和出租车等行业经营困难。1依赖柴油运行的俄罗斯铁路网长度为6000公里，同样面临运营压力。1经济学家认为，若乌克兰继续加强对俄罗斯目标的攻击力度，该国经济可能在数周内陷入瘫痪，从而加速战争结束。1

Ukraine's sustained attacks on Russian oil refineries have triggered an escalating fuel shortage across Russia, with at least 30 regions now affected and shortages particularly acute in Moscow and surrounding areas.1 Russian oil production has declined from 11.5 million barrels per day in 2019 to less than 9 million barrels daily,1 while the country requires approximately 200,000 tons of fuel and diesel oil each day.1 The supply disruptions have begun hampering logistics, construction, and taxi services across the nation.

Economists warn that if Ukraine intensifies its strikes against Russian energy infrastructure, the country's economy could face paralysis within weeks, potentially accelerating an end to the war.1 Russia's rail network, spanning 6,000 kilometers, depends on diesel fuel for operations,1 making transportation networks vulnerable to further supply constraints as attacks continue.