根据YouGov在8月14-17日进行的民调，54%的德国选民预计总理弗里德里希·梅茨会在2029年联邦选举前离职1。其中，36%的受访者认为梅茨将在2026年之前卸任，另有18%认为他会在年底前被替换1。相比之下，仅有29%的选民相信梅茨会留任至下次联邦选举1。
这份调查结果反映出梅茨在党内权威的严重衰退1。36%的受访者认为梅茨权威大幅下降，31%认为有所下滑，仅1%的人认为其权威有明显增长1。民调还显示，25%的选民认为北威州州长亨德里克·武斯特更适合担任总理，而仅有9%的受访者认为梅茨更适合1。本次调查共涵盖2091名合格选民1。
A YouGov poll reveals significant doubts about Chancellor Friedrich Merz's political future, with 54% of German voters anticipating his departure before the 2029 federal election 1. Among those expecting early exit, 36% believe Merz will leave office before 2026, while 18% think he could be replaced by year's end 1. In contrast, only 29% of respondents expect him to serve until the next scheduled election 1.
The survey also indicates a substantial erosion of Merz's authority within his own party, with 36% of voters saying he has lost significant influence and 31% reporting a partial loss of authority 1. Just 1% believe his standing has grown noticeably 1. When asked about alternative leadership, 25% of respondents consider North Rhine-Westphalia's Minister-President Hendrik Wüst better suited for the chancellorship, compared to only 9% who view Merz as the preferable choice 1.
The poll was conducted by YouGov between August 14 and 17, surveying 2,091 eligible voters 1.
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