哈萨克斯坦将于2026年8月23日举行议会选举，选出145名议员组成新的一院制议会库鲁尔台12。这次选举采用政党名单制，禁止独立候选人参选，全部7个注册政党均获准参选12。约1230万选民有资格投票2。
总统托卡耶夫领导的执政党阿迪列特党预计将获得压倒性多数12。这场选举旨在巩固托卡耶夫的权力并削弱前总统纳扎尔巴耶夫的影响力1。今年3月通过的新宪法获得87%选民支持，取消了参议院，实现了两院制向单一制的转变2。宪法修正案还允许托卡耶夫在2029年寻求新的七年总统任期12。
选举在严峻的国内形势下进行。哈萨克斯坦面临高通胀压力，通胀率约为10.2%2。同时，新闻自由受到限制，10名独立记者和博主面临刑事指控2。格拉斯哥大学欧亚研究教授卢卡·安切斯基表示，"真正的反对派代表不会被选入议会"1。托卡耶夫表示，"毫无疑问，这次选举将被铭记为我国历史上或许最有趣的一次"2。
从地缘政治角度看，这次选举反映了哈萨克斯坦在乌克兰战争背景下，在俄罗斯、欧盟和中国之间维持平衡的困境1。2025年哈萨克斯坦成为欧盟第二大石油出口国，出口份额达12.8%，共出口5580万吨原油1。德国外交关系委员会东欧、俄罗斯和中亚治理中心负责人斯特凡·迈斯特认为欧盟已对中亚事务采取更为务实的态度1。
Kazakhstan will conduct parliamentary elections on August 23, 2026, to elect 145 members to a newly restructured unicameral legislature known as the Kurultai.12 The reform represents a significant constitutional shift, as the country transitions from a bicameral system following a constitutional amendment approved by 87% of voters in March.2 Approximately 12.3 million eligible voters will participate, and all seven registered political parties have been permitted to participate, though independent candidates are barred from running.2
President Kassym-Jomart Tokayev's pro-government party, Amanat, is widely expected to secure an overwhelming majority in the vote.12 The electoral reforms are viewed by analysts as consolidating Tokayev's power while simultaneously weakening the influence of former president Nursultan Nazarbayev, who ruled the country for 30 years before Tokayev assumed office in 2019.2 A constitutional amendment has effectively reset term limits, allowing Tokayev to pursue a new seven-year presidential term in 2029.2 Tokayev stated that "these elections will be remembered as perhaps the most interesting in our country's history."2
The election occurs within a complex geopolitical context, as Kazakhstan attempts to maintain equilibrium between Russia, the European Union, and China amid the ongoing conflict in Ukraine.1 Economic conditions present additional challenges, with inflation hovering around 10.2%.2 Concerns about democratic representation have been raised by observers; Luca Anceschi, professor of Eurasian studies at the University of Glasgow, remarked that "genuine opposition representatives will not be elected to parliament."1 Kazakhstan has strengthened its economic ties with Europe, becoming the EU's second-largest oil exporter in 2025 with a 12.8% share of the bloc's imports, supplying 55.8 million tons of crude oil.1
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