澳大利亚西澳州Secret Harbour的补选已成为对One Nation党全国影响力的重要检验。1该党在早期投票中表现强劲，在120名投票者中获得约50%的首选票。1
One Nation在联邦议会目前拥有6名议员，其中4名在参议院。1该党利用这次补选为更大的政治野心做准备，包括为2028年向自由党议员Andrew Hastie发起的冲击造势，同时在11月维州选举中投入大规模竞选资源。1该党近期在移民、养老金和烟草消费税等政策议题上的提案日益影响联邦政府和反对党的政治议程。1
在移民政策上，One Nation提议的净海外移民目标为130,000人，加上约40,000名背包客和临时工人。1这与澳大利亚政府的目标形成对比——政府计划将本财年净海外移民从约300,000降至245,000，到2027-28年进一步降至225,000。1在其他议题上，One Nation党领袖Hanson反对生产力委员会关于撤销西澳GST优惠协议的建议。1教育部长Jason Clare表示需要"防范One Nation政府可能滥用高等教育立法中权力的情况"。1Secret Harbour补选投票日期为8月29日。1
A byelection in Western Australia's Secret Harbour electorate has emerged as a critical test of One Nation's expanding political influence across Australia.1 In early voting, the party secured approximately 50% of first-preference votes among 120 early voters, signaling substantial local support ahead of the August 29 poll date.1 The byelection reflects One Nation's broader strategic ambitions, as the party simultaneously prepares for a major campaign investment in Victoria's November state election and positions itself to challenge Liberal incumbent Andrew Hastie in 2028.1
One Nation's growing policy agenda is reshaping the national political conversation.1 The party currently holds six federal parliamentary seats, including four in the Senate, giving it increased leverage over government and opposition priorities.1 On key issues, One Nation has proposed a net overseas migration target of 130,000 people annually, plus approximately 40,000 backpackers and temporary workers—a stark contrast to the Australian government's goal of reducing net overseas migration from approximately 300,000 to 245,000 in the current financial year and further to 225,000 by 2027-28.1 Party leader Hanson has also opposed the Productivity Commission's recommendation to remove Western Australia's GST revenue advantage, and the party's positions on pensions and tobacco consumption taxes are increasingly influencing the political agenda.1 Education Minister Jason Clare has warned of the need to "guard against One Nation potentially abusing powers in higher education legislation," underscoring concerns about the party's capacity to shape government policy.1
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