中国气象局：超强厄尔尼诺事件正在形成，或为150年来最强

中国气象局监测显示，太平洋赤道中东部正在形成一次持续增强的厄尔尼诺气候现象，发生超强厄尔尼诺事件的概率在增大1。赤道中东太平洋于5月达到厄尔尼诺状态标准，7月已进入强厄尔尼诺事件的监测行列1。这次事件强度可能超越1997/1998年的历史记录，有望成为近150年来最强的一次1。

本次厄尔尼诺事件预计至少持续到明年春季，持续时间接近10至11个月1。此次现象将通过改变大气环流型影响全球天气格局1。同期数据显示，今年1月到5月我国近海海表温度比1991年到2020年同期平均偏高0.52摄氏度1。

China's meteorological authorities have detected an intensifying El Niño phenomenon in the Pacific Ocean that could become the strongest on record in 150 years.1 The equatorial central and eastern Pacific reached El Niño conditions in May, and by July the event had escalated to meet the criteria for a strong El Niño episode.1 Forecasters estimate a growing probability that this event will develop into a super-strong phenomenon, potentially surpassing the intensity of the 1997–1998 El Niño.1

The El Niño event is expected to persist through at least the spring of next year, lasting approximately 10 to 11 months in total.1 During this extended period, the phenomenon will alter atmospheric circulation patterns and significantly influence global weather patterns.1 From January through May of this year, sea surface temperatures in China's coastal waters have been running 0.52 degrees Celsius above the average for the same period measured between 1991 and 2020.1