中国气象局监测显示，太平洋赤道中东部正在形成一次强度可能创造150年来新高的厄尔尼诺事件[1]。赤道中东太平洋于5月达到厄尔尼诺状态标准，7月已进入强厄尔尼诺事件的监测行列[1]。气象部门评估，此次事件发生超强厄尔尼诺的概率在增大，强度有望超越1997/1998年的历史记录[1]。
本次厄尔尼诺事件预计至少持续到明年春季，持续时间接近10至11个月[1]。这一气候现象将通过改变大气环流型影响全球天气格局[1]。数据显示，今年1月到5月，中国近海海表温度比1991年到2020年同期平均偏高0.52摄氏度[1]。
China's meteorological authorities have detected an intensifying El Niño climate phenomenon across the Pacific Ocean that is expected to potentially become the strongest on record in 150 years, potentially surpassing the 1997–1998 event in strength.[1] The equatorial central and eastern Pacific reached El Niño conditions in May, and by July had entered the monitoring category for strong El Niño events.[1] The probability of a super strong El Niño event occurring is increasing.[1]
The event is expected to persist for at least until spring of next year, with a duration approaching ten to eleven months.[1] This extended El Niño episode will influence global weather patterns by altering atmospheric circulation regimes.[1] From January to May of this year, coastal ocean surface temperatures in China were 0.52 degrees Celsius higher than the 1991–2020 average for the same period.[1]
