维多利亚州工党因民调危急,在2026年州选举前四个月宣布更换领导层[1]。副总理本·卡罗尔接替贾辛塔·艾伦成为新任总理[1]。根据民调预测,若按现状进行选举,工党的失利程度将超过1992年琼·柯克纳政府时期,当时工党仅获得27个议席,而肯尼特政府获得61个[1]。
51岁的卡罗尔是长期工党内部人士,曾在前任总理丹·安德鲁斯和艾伦政府中担任过14个不同部长职位[1]。他在首次记者会上的手写笔记上明确写道"不是丹尼尔·安德鲁斯",试图与前任总理划清界限[1]。卡罗尔将面临严峻的政治局势:全州一国党支持率高达22%,威胁工党在外围郊区的议席[1];同时维多利亚州当前背负190亿澳元的州债务,大建设项目涉及109亿澳元[1]。卡罗尔任职总理119天后将面临选举投票[1]。为扭转困局,他宣布成立针对大建设项目腐败问题的皇家委员会[1]。
Victoria's Labor Party has replaced its leader less than four months before the 2026 state election, signaling deepening electoral crisis for the governing party.[1] Deputy Premier Ben Carroll has assumed the role of Premier, replacing Jacinta Allen as the party attempts to reverse its political fortunes.[1] Polling data indicates that if the election were held under current conditions, Labor's defeat would exceed the scale of the 1992 collapse under Joan Kirner, when the party won just 27 seats compared to Jeff Kennett's 61.[1]
Carroll, a 51-year-old veteran of the Labor establishment from the working-class western suburbs, faces election in just 119 days from his appointment as Premier.[1] The incoming leader has served in 14 different ministerial positions across the previous Andrews and Allen administrations, and has signaled a break from his predecessors by emphasizing distance from former Premier Daniel Andrews—notably writing "not Daniel Andrews" on handwritten notes during his first press conference.[1] To address voter concerns about integrity in government, Carroll has announced the establishment of a royal commission to investigate corruption in major construction projects.[1]
Labor's position has become increasingly precarious as One Nation's state polling support reaches 22 percent, threatening the party's hold on outer suburban seats.[1] Victoria currently carries state debt of A$190 billion, with major construction projects accounting for A$109 billion of that total.[1]