2026年上半年,共軍戰鬥機在台灣附近空域的出動架次創下3年來的新低[1]。數據顯示,共軍戰鬥機數量較去年同期下降超過一半,降至1334架[1]。台灣未偵測到共軍戰機的天數創下新高,且共軍未在台灣周圍進行大規模演習,這是2022年以來的首次[1]。
針對軍機活動大幅減少的原因,中國國防部發言人蔣斌未作正面回應,僅表示「台灣是中國的一部分,解放軍在相關海空域活動,天經地義,什麼時間、什麼組織都自有安排」[1]。專家分析認為,減少主要源於習近平與美國總統川普舉行的北京峰會,雙方達成了有關戰略穩定的協議[1]。此外,中共軍隊反腐、訓練重點轉變等因素也對活動調整產生影響[1]。
Chinese military fighter jets conducted significantly fewer sorties near Taiwan during the first half of 2026, marking the lowest operational tempo in three years.[1] The number of Chinese warplanes decreased by more than half compared to the same period last year, totaling 1,334 aircraft.[1] Taiwan detected no Chinese military aircraft on a record number of days during this period, and no large-scale military exercises were observed around the island—a first occurrence since 2022.[1]
When questioned about the reduction, Chinese Defense Ministry spokesperson Jiang Bin declined to attribute it to any specific policy shift, stating that "Taiwan is part of China, and the People's Liberation Army's activities in relevant sea and airspace are entirely natural and justified; the timing and organization of such activities are arranged as needed."[1] However, analysts point to President Xi Jinping's recent summit with U.S. President Trump in Beijing as a contributing factor, noting that the two sides announced an agreement on strategic stability.[1] Military reforms including anti-corruption campaigns and shifts in training priorities within the PLA are also believed to have influenced the operational decline.[1]