特朗普表示美国与伊朗正在进行"良好谈判",并认为"有很好的机会能够实现某种协议"[1]。美国于周六暂停了为期两周的空袭行动[1],这是五个月冲突中的最新战略转向。特朗普同时警告,若谈判破裂将恢复军事行动[1]。
伊朗方面表示愿意继续进行外交接触。伊朗外交部发言人埃斯梅尔·巴格艾指出,伊朗通过调解人传递信息,未放弃外交渠道[1]。伊朗高级官员表示,只要特朗普的停火继续,伊朗将暂停自身攻击[1]。然而,伊朗随后通过无人机测试了停火,沙特、约旦和伊拉克报告遭受攻击[1]。双方在霍尔木兹海峡通航权问题上存在分歧,美方主张自由通行,伊朗坚持征收过境费[1]。
美伊冲突在民众支持度上显现下滑。根据路透社/益普索民调,仅三分之一美国人支持对伊朗作战,创冲突早期以来最低值[1]。原油市场也有所回应,美国原油下跌8.21%至81.98美元/桶,布伦特原油下跌9.31%至87.77美元/桶[1]。特朗普的支持率为37%,较上月上升3个百分点[1]。
前期军事行动已造成重大伤亡。两周轰炸导致伊朗数十人丧生,美方四名军人在返火中阵亡[1]。美伊曾于6月达成框架协议,计划8月底前就伊朗核计划等重大问题举行谈判[1]。
President Trump declared that the United States and Iran are engaged in constructive dialogue, stating, "We're having good talks. I think there's a good chance that something could happen."[1] The United States suspended a two-week bombing campaign against Iran on Saturday, marking a strategic shift five months into the conflict.[1] Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Ismail Baghaei indicated that messages were being conveyed through mediators and that Iran had not abandoned diplomatic efforts.[1] Iranian senior officials stated on Sunday that should Trump's self-declared ceasefire continue, Iran would pause its own attacks.[1]
The pause in hostilities came as domestic support for military action declined significantly. A Reuters/Ipsos poll showed that only one-third of Americans support war with Iran, the lowest level since the early stages of the conflict.[1] Trump's approval rating stood at 37 percent, up three percentage points from the previous month.[1] Crude oil prices responded to the de-escalation, with US crude falling 8.21 percent to $81.98 per barrel and Brent crude dropping 9.31 percent to $87.77 per barrel.[1]
The two-week bombing campaign had resulted in dozens of Iranian deaths, while four American military personnel were killed in return fire.[1] The core dispute between the nations centers on navigation rights through the Strait of Hormuz, with the United States advocating for unrestricted passage while Iran maintains its right to collect transit fees.[1] Following a framework agreement reached in June, both nations are scheduled to begin negotiations by late August on major issues including Iran's nuclear program.[1]