最新Guardian Essential民调揭示了澳大利亚政治格局的重大变化[1]。反对党领袖安格斯·泰勒的净支持率在过去一个月内暴跌,从6月的-1%跌至-12%[1],其中中年选民(35-54岁)的支持率下降尤为明显,跌幅达20个百分点[1]。
在党派支持方面,工党以31%的初选支持率继续领先[1]。极右翼政党One Nation的初选支持率停滞在25%,较6月小幅下降1个百分点,并较5月的峰值28%下降3个百分点[1],而联合党的支持率则为22%,较6月下降1个百分点[1]。总理阿尔巴尼塞的净支持率为-14%,38%的受访者支持其工作,52%反对[1]。
在政策评价上,澳大利亚选民对政府应对经济危机的表现持批评态度[1]。针对政府处理通胀和生活成本危机的表现,64%的受访者认为其表现不佳,16%认为表现良好[1]。同时,79%的选民认为成本生活和通胀问题是当前最重要的议题[1]。在AI政策方面,37%的选民支持在本地建设新数据中心,28%反对[1]。此次民调基于1,060名选民的样本,调查时间为上周[1]。
The newest Guardian Essential poll reveals a sharp deterioration in support for Australian opposition leader Angus Taylor, whose net approval rating has crashed to -12 percent, down 11 percentage points from -1 percent in June [1]. The decline was particularly pronounced among middle-aged voters, with support among those aged 35 to 54 dropping by 20 percentage points [1].
The poll, which surveyed 1,060 voters last week, shows mixed results across the political landscape [1]. The far-right One Nation party's primary vote has stalled at 25 percent, down 1 percentage point from June and falling 3 percentage points from its May peak of 28 percent [1]. The Labor party maintains primary support of 31 percent, up 1 percentage point from June, while the Coalition sits at 22 percent, down 1 percentage point [1]. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese's net approval stands at -14 percent, with 38 percent of voters supporting him and 52 percent opposed [1].
Public dissatisfaction with government economic management appears to underpin the shifting political dynamics. A substantial 64 percent of Australians rate the government's handling of inflation and the cost-of-living crisis as poor, compared to just 16 percent who view it favorably [1]. Cost of living and inflation concerns dominate voter priorities, with 79 percent of respondents identifying these as the most important issues facing the country [1]. On the question of technology infrastructure, 28 percent of voters oppose building a new artificial intelligence data center locally, while 37 percent support it [1].