美国总统特朗普表示,美国与伊朗正在进行深入谈判,并警告如果谈判破裂将重启"强硬军事行动"[1]。特朗普对Axios称:"我们与伊朗进行非常深入的谈判。如果谈判不成功,我们将回到非常强硬的军事行动"[1]。他同时强调谈判的紧迫性,表示"时间不多。要么快速推进,要么根本不进行"[1]。特朗普周一表示乐观态度,认为"有很好的机会发生什么事"[2]。
双方目前处于停火状态。美国于周五暂停了对伊朗的打击,伊朗也停止了攻击,停火已持续第三天[2]。伊朗外交部发言人巴卡伊否认与美国进行直接谈判[1]。美国与伊朗通过中介进行非直接谈判,同时伊朗和阿曼就霍尔木兹海峡的管理进行技术谈判[1]。
这场冲突自2月28日开始[2],源于该月末美以联合军事打击[1]。6月两国曾签署谅解备忘录暂停军事行动[2],但7月13日伊朗在霍尔木兹海峡攻击油轮后,美国恢复了空中打击[2]。冲突对海上运输造成严重影响,过去一周霍尔木兹海峡通行船舶平均约5艘/天,而战前为约130艘/天[1]。此外,美伊冲突中已有超过600名美国军人伤亡[2],油价下跌超过9%至87.59美元/桶[2]。
President Trump has stated that the United States is engaged in intensive negotiations with Iran, cautioning that military action will resume if talks break down. "We are in very deep talks with Iran. If they don't work out, we will go back to very strong military action," Trump told Axios.[1] He added that time is limited for reaching a settlement, saying "Not much time. Either it goes fast or not at all."[1]
The diplomatic engagement is taking place during a temporary pause in hostilities. According to Trump, a three-day ceasefire has been in effect with neither the United States nor Iran conducting strikes.[2] The U.S. suspended bombing operations on Friday,[2] with the pause now having lasted nearly two weeks.[1] On Monday, Trump expressed cautious optimism about the prospects for agreement, stating "I think there's a very good chance something happens."[2] However, Iran's Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baqaei has denied that direct negotiations with the United States are taking place.[1]
The current crisis stems from military escalation that began at the end of February, with a U.S.-Israeli joint military strike marking the initial trigger.[1] The conflict was temporarily halted when the two countries signed a memorandum of understanding in June,[2] but tensions reignited on July 13 when Iran attacked oil tankers in the Strait of Hormuz, prompting the United States to resume air strikes.[2] The impact on regional shipping has been severe, with daily vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz plummeting to approximately five ships per day compared to roughly 130 vessels daily before the conflict.[1]