最新民调显示，南卡罗来纳州美国参议院席位争夺战进入最终阶段时呈现平局状态，该州已从传统的“可靠共和党票仓”转变为“摇摆州”。12 在《纽约时报》与Siena学院联合发布的调查中，民主党候选人安妮·安德鲁斯与共和党现任参议员达琳·格雷厄姆的支持率均为48%。1 若民主党在此次选举中获胜，将是自1998年以来首次赢得该州的参议院席位。1 多家媒体指出，这一选情变化对民主党争取参议院多数席位构成利好。2
达琳·格雷厄姆于其兄长林赛·格雷厄姆今年7月去世后接任该席位，但选民对其执政经验的担忧影响了选情。1 数据显示，51%的受访者认为格雷厄姆缺乏必要的经验，而在独立选民中，安德鲁斯以57%对37%的支持率领先。1 在8月的一场辩论中，格雷厄姆承认自己在国家安全方面“并不那么了解”，特别是在涉及台湾政策的问题上。1 尽管前总统特朗普上周在南卡罗来纳州进行了长达90分钟的拉票演讲并计划周四再次访问，且格雷厄姆支持特朗普的关税、对伊朗战争及立即驱逐政策，但党内裂痕依然存在：曾在初选中败给格雷厄姆的共和党众议员拉尔夫·诺曼拒绝为她助选。1
在政策立场上，安德鲁斯主张推行公共医疗选项和降低处方药价格，但明确拒绝“全民医保”方案。1 值得注意的是，不同民调机构的结果存在差异，除持平数据外，其他调查显示格雷厄姆略微领先，例如南卡罗来纳州政策委员会给出的数据显示她有一个百分点的优势。1
The contest for South Carolina’s U.S. Senate seat has become a dead heat in the final stretch, with Democrat Annie Andrews and Republican incumbent Darline Graham tied at 48% support each according to a New York Times/Siena poll 1. This tightness marks a significant shift for a state that was previously considered a reliable Republican stronghold, now transforming into a true "toss-up" race 2. If the Democratic candidate prevails, it would represent the first time since 1998 that South Carolina has elected a Democrat to the Senate 12.
Darline Graham assumed her role after being appointed following the death of her brother, Senator Lindsey Graham, in July 1. However, voter concerns regarding her qualifications have intensified; a recent survey indicated that 51% of voters believe Graham lacks the right experience for the position 1. During an August debate, Graham admitted she was “not that informed on national security” when questioned about Taiwan policy, highlighting gaps in her preparedness 1. In contrast, independents are favoring Andrews by a margin of 57% to 37% 1.
The candidates present sharply different policy platforms. Andrews advocates for a public health insurance option and lower prescription drug costs, while explicitly rejecting Medicare for All 1. Conversely, Graham supports President Trump’s tariff policies, military action against Iran, and immediate deportation measures 1. Despite President Trump’s strong backing—including a 90-minute campaign rally last week and another scheduled visit this Thursday—Graham faces internal Republican resistance 1. Ralph Norman, a Republican Congressman who lost the primary runoff to Graham, has refused to campaign on her behalf 1. While some polls show Graham with a narrow one-point lead according to the South Carolina Policy Council, the overall trajectory suggests a highly competitive finish 1.
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