《纽约时报》与锡耶纳学院联合发布的民调显示，2026年10月佛罗里达州潜在选民的最新数据已出炉 1。同期，福克斯新闻的权力排名将南卡罗来纳州的联邦参议员席位竞争状态调整为“势均力敌”（toss-up）2。这一评级变化意味着该州有望在28年来首次选出民主党籍参议员 12。这些最新的民调结果被认为对民主党的参议院竞选前景有利 1。
距离中期选举投票日仅剩数天之际，南卡罗来纳州的选情发生显著逆转，主要动力来自独立选民明显转向支持民主党候选人 2。在共和党方面，候选人拉尔夫·诺曼面临来自阿妮·安德鲁斯博士发起的无记名投票（write-in campaign）挑战 2。安德鲁斯博士随后就这一无记名投票活动做出了回应 2。
With days remaining before the US midterm elections, the contest for a federal Senate seat in South Carolina has shifted from a Republican advantage to a "toss-up" status, according to Fox News Power Rankings 2. This reclassification marks a significant development in the race between Republican candidate Ralph Norman and Dr. Annie Andrews, driven primarily by independent voters tilting toward the Democratic side 2. If this trend holds, it would potentially allow South Carolina to elect a Democrat to the Senate for the first time in 28 years 1.
The tightening of the South Carolina race coincides with broader polling data suggesting increased optimism for Democrats' chances in the Senate overall 1. In addition to the dynamic changes in South Carolina, new cross-tabulation data released by The New York Times and Siena College Research Institute provides detailed insights into the likely electorate in Florida as of October 2026 1. These combined indicators are being viewed as favorable signals for the Democratic Party's campaign prospects heading into the final stretch of the election cycle 1.
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