澳大利亚总理安东尼·阿尔巴尼斯承认,当前民众感受到的经济痛苦短期内无法得到解决。1 在最新数据表明通胀形势依然严峻的背景下,阿尔巴尼斯直言:“这些挑战不会在一夜之间得到解决。”1 官方数据显示,9月同比总体通胀率为4.3%,高于8月的4%;同时,核心通胀率也达到3.7%。1 民调机构Essential的调查进一步揭示了公众的不满情绪,61%的受访者认为国家发展方向错误,这一比例相较于2025年10月的46%和今年1月的54%显著上升。1 对于生活成本上升的主要原因,选民归因于政府支出(32%)、全球事件(24%)以及超市价格欺诈(19%)。1
随着12月中期预算更新的临近,财政部长吉姆·查尔默斯强调新预算将包含节约措施,但他并未承诺实现净节约。1 面对反对党联盟公布的总额达310亿澳元的削减计划,查尔默斯回应称,那些主张更大幅度削减的人应当具体指出需要大幅缩减的领域。1 他表示:“我认为,对于认为我们应该进行更大规模削减的人来说,他们应该指名道姓地说明哪些领域应该被大幅削减。但我们一直在寻找节约措施,比我们的前任找到了更多的节约措施,这是因为我们严肃对待预算可持续性的艰巨工作。”1
与此同时,极右翼政党“一国党”的崛起正在重塑澳大利亚的政治格局。1 Resolve Political Monitor发布的9月新南威尔士州民调显示,工党支持率为29%,一国党以25%紧随其后,而联盟党则为24%。1 新南威尔士州州长克里斯·明恩斯预测,在3月13日选举后,“无论根据哪项民调或标准,[一国党领导人]迈克·纽曼都将成为州长或反对党领袖”。1
Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese has acknowledged that the severe cost-of-living pressures facing citizens will not disappear immediately, stating, "These challenges won’t be solved overnight" 1. This admission comes amid rising inflation data, with headline inflation reaching 4.3% in September compared to 4% in August, while the underlying rate stood at 3.7% 1. Public sentiment reflects this economic strain, as an Essential poll revealed that 61% of voters believe the country is on the wrong track, a significant increase from 54% in January and 46% in October 2025 1. When asked about the primary drivers of rising living costs, 32% of respondents blamed government spending, followed by global events at 24% and supermarket price gouging at 19% 1.
The political implications of these economic conditions are becoming increasingly stark, particularly regarding the influence of right-wing parties. New South Wales Premier Chris Minns predicted that following the March 13 election, One Nation leader Mike Newman would likely become either the premier or the opposition leader, noting, "By any poll, by any measure, [One Nation leader] Mike Newman will either be the premier or the opposition leader after the 13th of March" 1. This potential shift is supported by Resolve Political Monitor data from September, which showed Labor polling at 29%, closely trailed by One Nation at 25% and the Coalition at 24% 1. Meanwhile, Treasurer Jim Chalmers addressed upcoming fiscal measures ahead of the mid-year budget update, emphasizing savings without committing to net reductions; he stated, "So for people who think we should cut much harder, they should nominate, I think, those areas that should be cut more substantially. But we have been finding savings, many more savings than our predecessors, and that’s because we take the hard yards of budget sustainability seriously" 1. In response to the government's stance, the opposition coalition announced a spending reduction plan totaling $31 billion 1.
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