在2026年10月27日举行的以色列议会选举中，随着截至10月29日近90%的选票完成统计，主要政治阵营均未获得组建政府所需的绝对多数席位 4。初步结果显示，本雅明·内塔尼亚胡领导的右翼联盟预计获得53个席位，而反对派领袖加迪·艾森科特领导的中间偏左联盟获得48个席位 24。由于组建稳定政府需要在120个总席位中获得至少61席，两大阵营目前均无法独立执政 14。现任总理内塔尼亚胡指责选举被“窃取”，其所属的利库德集团对阿拉伯政党提出投诉并要求警方和辛贝特进行调查，尽管尚无证据支持这些指控 23。
缺席选票的清点工作仍在进行中，这部分主要包括士兵、囚犯和外交官持有的约43万至48万张“双信封”选票 4。官方最终结果定于11月4日发布，在此之前局势仍充满不确定性 4。在此背景下，创纪录地获得19个席位的阿拉伯政党可能成为决定组阁走向的关键少数力量 12。联合名单主席尤瑟夫·贾巴林（Yousef Jabareen）表示，任何希望为内塔尼亚胡政府提供真正替代方案的人必须与阿拉伯政党对话，但他明确拒绝加入由内塔尼亚胡主导的执政联盟 2。艾森科特要求内塔尼亚胡辞职并警告其不要利用国家安全进行政治操作，同时双方阵营已开始筹备复杂的联合谈判 34。
以色列总统艾萨克·赫尔佐格拥有决定谁优先尝试组建政府的权力，他敦促各方避免再次举行选举 14。国际方面，联合国人权事务高级专员沃尔克·图尔克呼吁下一届以色列政府尊重国际法并“大规模改变路线”，停止被认为凌驾于国际法之上的战争进程 24。德国联邦议院副议长奥米德·努里普尔指出，阿拉伯裔选民的高投票率证明了民主的强度，并对右翼策略形成了反噬 4。
With nearly 90% of votes counted, Israel’s parliamentary election has produced no clear winner, as both the coalition led by incumbent Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and the opposition bloc headed by Gadi Eisenkot have failed to secure the 61 seats required to form a government 134. Preliminary results indicate that Netanyahu’s right-wing camp is projected to hold 53 seats, while Eisenkot’s center-left faction has secured 48 seats out of the total 120 available in the Knesset 24. The absence of an absolute majority has thrust Arab parties into a pivotal role, having achieved a record-breaking 19 seats that could determine the balance of power in upcoming coalition negotiations 2. Although the Likud party accused opponents of "stealing" the election without providing evidence, claims regarding procedural integrity remain contested amid ongoing tallies 23.
Coalition Talks and Presidential Role
The outcome now hinges on complex negotiations among smaller factions, with President Isaac Herzog set to decide which leader will receive the first opportunity to attempt government formation 14. Herzog has urged all parties to avoid triggering another election, emphasizing the need for stable governance despite the fractured landscape 4. Meanwhile, counting continues for approximately 430,000 to 480,000 absentee ballots from groups including soldiers, prisoners, and diplomats, with final official results expected by November 4 4.
Opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot has demanded Netanyahu’s resignation, warning against the political manipulation of national security issues 4. In contrast, Yousef Jabareen, chair of the Joint List representing Arab parties, stated that any genuine alternative to what he described as Netanyahu’s "bloody government" must involve dialogue with his faction 2. While Jabareen expressed willingness to cooperate to unseat the current leadership, he explicitly rejected joining a governing coalition alongside Netanyahu’s allies 2.
International Reactions and Unresolved Tensions
International observers have weighed in on the transition, with UN High Commissioner for Human Rights Volker Turk calling on the next Israeli government to respect international law and significantly alter its course away from continuing war processes it believes supersede legal norms 24. German parliament vice-president Omid Nouripour highlighted that the high voter turnout, particularly among Arab citizens, demonstrated democratic strength and countered right-wing strategies intended to suppress participation 4. As the vote count reaches its final stages, the potential for a Jewish-Arab partnership to form a new government remains uncertain, with Eisenkot’s bloc preparing to begin internal coalition discussions 234.
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