维多利亚州选举：条约进程面临存废之争

澳大利亚维多利亚州将于11月28日举行州选举，原住民条约及相关机构的存续成为此次选举的核心争议点之一 1。目前，在《2025年全州条约法》提供的谈判框架下，由Treaty Authority管理的谈判登记册上已有八个传统所有者群体，且其中四个团体已与州政府签署了“承认与和解协议” 1。负责监督条约谈判的原住民机构Gellung Warl正推进相关工作；同时，Yoorrook正义委员会的真相讲述工作虽已正式结束，但其建议的实施仍依赖于现行体系的稳定 1。

若现任工党政府败选，保守派阵营的政策转向可能彻底中断上述进程 1。自由党、国家党和One Nation均已承诺废除州级条约及包括Gellung Warl和第一人民议会在内的相关机构 1。这一潜在变化不仅影响本地条约体系，也与全球范围内针对原住民权利的保守主义反弹趋势相呼应，新西兰、加拿大以及澳大利亚其他辖区如昆士兰和北领地均出现了削弱原住民权利的政治动向 1。

The upcoming Victorian state election on November 28 presents a critical juncture for Indigenous self-determination and treaty negotiations in the Australian state 1. The outcome hinges largely on whether the Labor government retains power, as opposition parties have explicitly pledged to dismantle the existing framework if they win office 1.

At the heart of this political contest is the Statewide Treaty Act 2025, which provides the legal structure for negotiations overseen by Gellung Warl, an Indigenous body responsible for supervising the process 1. Currently, eight traditional owner groups are registered with the Treaty Authority for negotiations, and four have already signed recognition and settlement agreements with the state government 1. Additionally, while the Yoorrook Justice Commission has formally concluded its truth-telling work, its recommendations remain pending implementation under the current legislative environment 1.

Conservative forces pose a direct threat to these advancements, with the Liberal Party, National Party, and One Nation all committing to abolish the state-level treaty system and related institutions such as Gellung Warl and the First Peoples’ Assembly 1. Should these parties secure victory, the ongoing negotiation processes would be interrupted, jeopardizing both the agreements already reached and the future application of Yoorrook’s findings 1. This local dynamic reflects a broader global trend of conservative backlash against Indigenous rights, mirrored in recent developments across New Zealand, Canada, and other Australian jurisdictions like Queensland and the Northern Territory 1.