2026年10月28日，在以色列大选后的组阁期间，周边阿拉伯国家对选举结果反应冷淡 1。分析普遍认为，无论内塔尼亚胡继续执政还是反对派领袖艾森科特上台，以色列的外交政策和对巴勒斯坦立场不会有根本性改变，“两国方案”已无望 1。埃及政客Mostafa Bakry称内塔尼亚胡和艾森科特是“同一枚硬币的两面” 1。欧洲对外关系委员会分析师Beth Oppenheim指出，新政府在司法改革、调查10月7日事件和征兵法上有国内差异，但外交政策不会根本转变 1。艾森科特曾表示：“没有巴勒斯坦国，我们组成的政府下也不会建立巴勒斯坦国。” 1沙特外长会议联合声明称以色列是“该地区及其以外地区不稳定的根本来源” 1。
尽管预期整体格局变化不大，但有预测认为非极端派政府可能在叙利亚撤军、与沙特正常化谈判及遏制定居者暴力方面带来细微积极变化 1。Etana智库报告称，以色列军队深入叙利亚领土达1,160公里（721英里），占领距边境400公里的土地，并在2026年1月至9月间进行了1,996次地面行动 1。黎巴嫩官员提到，2021-2022年贝内特和拉皮德执政期间曾成功达成海上边界协议 1。
Following the October 2026 Israeli elections and during the subsequent government formation period, neighboring Arab states have reacted with indifference to the potential outcomes. Analysts widely believe that neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu continuing in power nor opposition leader Gadi Eisenkot taking office would result in a fundamental shift in Israel’s foreign policy or its stance toward the Palestinians 1. Egyptian politician Mostafa Bakry described the two leaders as "two sides of the same coin," reflecting a prevailing sentiment that diplomatic relations will remain largely unchanged regardless of who forms the next coalition 1.
While major policy shifts are not anticipated, some observers suggest a non-extremist government could offer minor positives in specific areas. Beth Oppenheim, an analyst at the European Council on Foreign Relations, noted that while new administrations may differ domestically on issues such as judicial reform, investigations into the October 7 events, and conscription laws, these differences do not translate into a transformation of foreign policy 1. However, she indicated that there might be subtle improvements regarding military withdrawal from Syria, normalization talks with Saudi Arabia, and efforts to curb settler violence 1. Conversely, the outlook for Palestinian statehood remains bleak; Gadi Eisenkot has explicitly stated, "There is no Palestinian state, and no Palestinian state will be established under the government we form" 1. This hardline position aligns with broader regional frustrations, evidenced by a joint statement from a Saudi foreign ministers' meeting which labeled Israel as "the root source of instability in the region and beyond" 1.
The situation in Syria highlights ongoing tensions, where Israeli military operations continue despite any potential changes in leadership. A report by the Etana think tank revealed that Israeli forces have penetrated up to 1,160 kilometers (721 miles) into Syrian territory, occupying land located 400 kilometers from the border 1. Furthermore, the report documented 1,996 ground operations conducted between January and September 2026 1. Despite these hostilities, historical precedents exist for successful negotiations, as Lebanese officials recalled that maritime boundary agreements were reached during the tenure of former Prime Ministers Naftali Bennett and Yair Lapid between 2021 and 2022 1.
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