以色列大选初步计票数据显示，主要政治阵营均未取得组建政府所需的绝对多数席位。在已统计的约400万张选票（占比约70%）中，内塔尼亚胡领导的利库德集团及其盟友获得54个席位，而反对派领袖艾森科特领导的“变革”联盟获得47个席位 1。组阁需61个席位过半数支持，这一缺口使得双方虽均宣称占据上风并承诺组建新政府，但未来几周将面临激烈的联合谈判与政治角力 1。
此次选举结果的核心变数在于阿拉伯裔以色列选民的历史性高投票率。约占该国人口20%的阿拉伯群体积极参与投票，直接改变了反对派的执政路径，迫使艾森科特若意图执政，必须寻求与阿拉伯-以色列政党及领导人的合作 1。与此同时，巴勒斯坦政党在此次计票中也斩获了19个席位 1。面对胶着的席位分布，内塔尼亚胡誓言将通过整合利库德党、极右翼势力及犹太宗教政党的协议来构建执政联盟；反之，艾森科特则主张民众意愿倾向于政权更迭，并公开要求内塔尼亚胡宣布退出政坛 1。
In Israel’s pivotal general election, preliminary vote counting has left neither major political bloc with a clear mandate to form a government. With approximately 70% of the 4 million ballots counted, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s camp holds 54 seats, while Gadi Eisenkot’s opposition alliance trails with 47 seats; Palestinian parties account for 19 seats 1. As a governing coalition requires an absolute majority of 61 seats in the Knesset, both leaders have declared themselves the winners and pledged to assemble new governments, setting the stage for weeks of intense political maneuvering 1.
Netanyahu has vowed to construct his coalition through agreements among his Likud party, far-right groups, and ultra-Orthodox religious parties 1. Conversely, Eisenkot asserted that the electorate has decided in favor of change and demanded that Netanyahu announce his retirement from politics 1. A record-high turnout among Arab-Israeli citizens, who constitute about 20% of the population, significantly altered the electoral landscape, forcing Eisenkot to seek cooperation with Arab-led parties if he intends to take power 1.
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