最新初步计票结果显示，本雅明·内塔尼亚胡领导的利库德集团虽成为最大单一政党，但其右翼阵营在120个议会席位中仅接近但未达到61席的多数门槛 1。与此同时，前陆军参谋长加迪·艾森科特领导的反对派联盟同样难以在缺乏阿拉伯政党支持的情况下组建政府 1。鉴于超过77%的高投票率以及以色列阿拉裔选民创历史新高的参与度，阿拉伯政党可能在接下来的组阁谈判中扮演关键的“造王者”角色 1。
目前计票工作仍在进行中，特别是包含大量士兵投票的缺席选票尚未完全统计完毕，这使得最终结果存在不确定性，预计需要数日才能确定 1。尽管主要犹太反对派政党此前曾承诺不与阿拉伯主导名单合作，且阿维格多·利伯曼曾表示不愿参与依赖阿拉伯政党支持的少数派政府，但Ra'am党主席曼苏尔·阿巴斯表示希望加入下一届政府 1。总统艾萨克·赫尔佐格将在下周收到最终计票结果后咨询各党领袖以指定组阁人选 1。根据规定，若候选人无法在最多六周内组建多数联盟，其他人可尝试组阁；若所有努力均告失败，则可能面临重新选举 1。
Preliminary results from Israel's 25th Knesset election indicate that while Benjamin Netanyahu’s Likud party has emerged as the largest single faction, neither his right-wing bloc nor the opposition led by former army chief Gadi Eisenkot has secured an outright majority in the 120-seat parliament 1. Netanyahu’s camp is approaching but has not yet reached the critical threshold of 61 seats required to form a government on its own 1. Consequently, Arab parties may assume a pivotal "kingmaker" role in coalition negotiations, particularly given that voter turnout exceeded 77 percent, with participation among Israeli Arabs reaching record highs 1.
The final outcome remains uncertain as vote counting continues, specifically regarding a large volume of uncounted absentee ballots, which primarily consist of votes cast by soldiers 1. Once the President receives the definitive results next week, Isaac Herzog will consult with party leaders to designate a candidate for forming the government 1. If the initial nominee fails to build a majority coalition within six weeks, another candidate may be tasked with the attempt; should all efforts fail, new elections would likely follow 1. While Ra’am party chairman Mansour Abbas has expressed his desire to join the next government, Avigdor Lieberman has stated he is unwilling to participate in a minority government that depends on Arab party support 1. Major Jewish opposition parties had previously pledged not to cooperate with Arab-led lists, complicating the path to a stable coalition amidst deep political distrust 1.
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