在中期选举前夕，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普声称美国存在“猖獗”的选民欺诈行为 1。为此，特朗普提供100万英镑（约75万美元）奖金，以奖励导致定罪的有效选民欺诈举报 1。尽管特朗普推动限制邮寄投票和加强选民身份验证，但多项独立研究及政府数据显示，邮寄选票欺诈和非公民投票的案例极其罕见 1。
关于邮寄选票欺诈，布鲁金斯学会研究表明，每1000万张邮寄选票中平均仅有约4起欺诈案例 1。传统基金会数据库显示，过去20年有325起因邮寄选票欺诈导致的定罪 1。此外，特朗普签署的旨在限制邮政服务投递选票的行政命令被美国最高法院裁定为“任意且反复无常” 1。
针对非公民投票的指控同样缺乏广泛数据支持。路透社2026年分析发现，过去30年仅有129人因非公民投票被刑事起诉，其中73人被定罪 1。在具体州层面，佐治亚州审计发现过去30年选民名册上仅有432名疑似非公民 1；内华达州提供的185个所谓非公民名单经核实全部为美国公民 1；新泽西州因软件故障错误登记约6600名非公民，但最终仅不足400人实际投票，且已全部移除 1。司法部要求加州不计入2万张疑似非公民选票的请求被上诉法院拒绝 1。
另一方面，布伦南司法中心调查显示，约9%的美国适龄公民没有现成的公民身份证明文件 1。
President Donald Trump has characterized voter fraud in the United States as "rampant" ahead of the midterm elections, offering a reward of £1 million (approximately $750,000) for valid tips that lead to convictions 1. This claim stands in contrast to findings from independent studies and government data indicating such incidents are exceptionally uncommon 1. Research from the Brookings Institution suggests that fraudulent mail-in ballots occur at a rate of roughly four cases per 10 million votes cast 1, while the Heritage Foundation’s database records only 325 convictions for mail-ballot fraud over the past two decades 1.
In parallel with his public statements, Trump has pursued administrative measures aimed at restricting mail voting and tightening voter identification requirements. However, a Reuters analysis found that over the last 30 years, only 129 individuals were criminally prosecuted for non-citizen voting, with just 73 resulting in convictions 1. Evidence supporting the rarity of non-citizen participation includes an audit in Georgia which identified only 432 suspected non-citizens on voter rolls during the same period 1. In Nevada, all 185 names initially flagged as non-citizens were subsequently verified as US citizens 1. In New Jersey, a software glitch incorrectly registered approximately 6,600 non-citizens, yet fewer than 400 actually voted before the error was corrected 1. Additionally, an appeals court rejected a Department of Justice request to exclude 20,000 allegedly non-citizen ballots in California 1.
Legal challenges have also curtailed some of Trump's executive actions; the Supreme Court ruled that his order limiting the Postal Service’s ability to deliver ballots was "arbitrary and capricious" 1. Critics argue that stricter ID laws may disenfranchise legitimate voters, noting that a Brennan Center for Justice survey indicated about 9% of eligible US citizens lack ready access to proof of citizenship documents 1.
评论
还没有评论，欢迎留下第一条。