2026年10月27日，以色列举行议会选举 1。初步计票显示，由总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡领导的右翼联盟略微领先反对派领袖加迪·艾森科特领导的联盟 13。截至当地时间上午7:30，已统计超过57%的选票 13。基于部分计票结果，内塔尼亚胡阵营预计获得55席，反内塔尼亚胡阵营预计获得49席 13。然而，双方均未获得组建稳定政府所需的61个议席多数（总席位为120席） 13。具体而言，内塔尼亚胡所在的利库德集团目前预计获27席，艾森科特所在的Yashar党预计获21席 3。局势被形容为“太接近而无法判定”，最终赢家尚未确定 2。
由于没有任何单一阵营过半，阿拉伯政党在组阁谈判中可能扮演关键角色 13。阿拉伯政党预计将赢得15至16个席位 13。其中Ra'am党预计赢得7席，可能成为决定组阁成败的“造王者” 1。左翼民主党领导人亚伊尔·戈兰呼吁与阿拉伯政党合作以推翻内塔尼亚胡 3。未来几周将面临艰难的联合政府组建谈判 1。
尽管部分计票显示内塔尼亚胡阵营领先，其本人誓言组建“强大的右翼政府”，并明确拒绝依赖阿拉伯政党的支持 13。另一方面，反对派领袖艾森科特发表演讲呼吁内塔尼亚胡辞职，表示选民希望变革 1。艾森科特还警告称，内塔尼亚胡无权做出重大安全决策或发动新战争 3。值得注意的是，创纪录的约65万张缺席选票（相当于约14个议会席位）将在稍后统计 1。这些特别选票（如士兵、海外选民等）可能对最终结果产生重大影响 3。下午6点时，投票率达到66.7%，高于1973年和1988年的记录，为1973年以来最高同期记录 13。
Israel held its parliamentary election on October 27, 2026, resulting in a tight contest that has left no clear winner for government formation 13. As of 7:30 a.m. local time, more than 57% of the votes had been counted, with preliminary results showing a slight lead for the bloc led by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu over the opposition alliance headed by Gadi Eisenkot 13. However, neither camp has secured the majority of 61 seats required to form a stable coalition within the 120-seat Knesset 13. The current projections indicate that Netanyahu’s camp is expected to win approximately 55 seats, while the anti-Netanyahu bloc is projected to hold around 49 seats 13. Within these totals, the Likud party is projected to win 27 seats, and Eisenkot's Yashar party is expected to secure 21 seats 3.
The high stakes of the vote were underscored by record-breaking participation levels. Voter turnout reached 66.7% by 6:00 p.m., marking the highest same-time figure since 1973 and surpassing records from 1988 13. This surge in engagement was accompanied by a historic number of absentee ballots; approximately 650,000 special votes, including those from soldiers and overseas citizens, remain to be counted 13. These uncounted ballots are equivalent to roughly 14 parliamentary seats and could significantly influence the final outcome 13.
Key political figures have already taken strong positions regarding the partial results. Netanyahu vowed to establish a "strong right-wing government" and explicitly rejected any reliance on support from Arab parties 13. In contrast, opposition leader Eisenkot called for Netanyahu’s resignation, arguing that voters desire change, and warned that the prime minister lacks the mandate to make major security decisions or launch new wars 13. Meanwhile, Yair Golan, leader of the left-wing Democratic party, urged cooperation with Arab parties to overthrow Netanyahu’s leadership 3.
Given the lack of a majority for either primary bloc, Arab parties are positioned to play a decisive role as potential kingmakers 13. They are projected to win between 15 and 16 seats 13. Additionally, the Ra'am party is expected to secure seven seats, further highlighting the critical influence of smaller factions in the upcoming coalition negotiations 1. Initial exit polls suggested an opposition lead, but subsequent updates have shifted the narrative toward a stalemate or a narrow advantage for Netanyahu’s camp, leaving the final result "too close to call" according to some analyses 23.
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