澳大利亚财政部长吉姆·查尔默斯将国内加速的通胀归因于由美国前总统特朗普引发的中东冲突及全球数据中心建设热潮 1。然而,Essential民调显示多数选民对此并不认同,仅24%的受访者认为海外事件(如全球石油冲击)是生活成本上升的主因,而32%的选民则将矛头指向政府支出过高 1。随着通胀压力持续累积,公众对经济前景的悲观情绪蔓延,61%的澳大利亚人认为国家正走在错误的道路上,仅有25%持相反观点 1。
数据显示,2024年9月燃料成本上涨9.4%,推动澳大利亚整体通胀率从4%攀升至4.3% 1。汽油和柴油价格较一年前平均高出24%,进一步加剧了民众负担 1。尽管剔除最大价格波动后的核心通胀指标在截至9月的季度中从3.6%升至3.7%,但这一数据恶化趋势并未缓解外界对货币政策的担忧 1。预计利率将于下周二再次上调,使现金利率达到4.85%,创下自全球金融危机以来的最高水平 1。
澳大利亚储备银行行长米歇尔·布洛克指出,复杂的海外局势使得将通胀降至2.5%的目标变得困难重重 1。在失业率近期触及五年高点的背景下,央行若继续加息以抑制通胀,将进一步加剧民众的经济压力 1。
Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers has attributed the country’s accelerating inflation to a Middle East conflict sparked by former US President Donald Trump and a global boom in data center construction. 1 Despite this narrative, polling indicates that most voters do not accept external geopolitical factors as the primary driver of their rising cost of living. 1
Recent economic data shows fuel costs rose 9.4% in September 2024, pushing Australia’s overall inflation rate from 4% to 4.3%. 1 Gasoline and diesel prices are now averaging 24% higher than they were a year ago. 1 Meanwhile, the core inflation indicator, which excludes the most volatile price movements, increased from 3.6% to 3.7% during the quarter ending in September. 1 Reserve Bank of Australia Governor Michele Bullock acknowledged that overseas developments have complicated efforts to bring inflation down to the 2.5% target. 1
Public sentiment largely contradicts the government’s explanation. An Essential poll revealed that 32% of voters—nearly one-third—believe excessive government spending is the main cause of rising living costs, while only 24% attribute it to overseas events such as global oil shocks. 1 With 61% of Australians believing the nation is on the wrong track compared to just 25% who hold the opposite view, economic pressure is mounting ahead of expected policy changes. 1 Interest rates are predicted to rise again next Tuesday, potentially bringing the cash rate to 4.85%, the highest level since the Global Financial Crisis, at a time when unemployment has reached its five-year peak. 1
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