一项涵盖自1960年代以来2139个具名环保活动的最新研究表明，尽管仅有20%的运动完全达成目标，但高达62.5%的活动至少取得了一定进展 1。该研究指出，大多数环保运动以“部分成功”告终，而目标明确、特别是针对金融机构或具体项目的活动更容易获胜 1。数据显示，针对银行的宣传活动成功率最高，在30个案例中有28个取得了某种程度的成功；相比之下，针对政客的宣传活动效果较差，仅39%的案例取得部分或全部成功 1。
研究人员认为，虽然单一战役很少能直接实现如大幅减排等系统性目标，但通过累积局部胜利可以推动实质性变革 1。例如，维多利亚州长达30年的零散胜利最终促使该州于2023年宣布将于2024年结束国有森林的天然木材采伐 1。此外，新南威尔士州高等法院近期以3比2裁定Mount Pleasant煤矿扩建批准无效，这一结果被视为社区团体四年努力的重要成果 1。
A comprehensive study analyzing 2,139 named environmental campaigns dating back to the 1960s has found that while total victories are rare, most efforts achieve some level of progress. The research indicates that 62.5% of these campaigns secured at least partial success, whereas only 20% fully achieved their stated goals 1. Despite the infrequency of complete systemic overhauls through single campaigns, the study suggests that accumulating local wins can drive substantial long-term change, as demonstrated by decades of fragmented activism in Victoria that eventually led to a ban on logging natural forests 1.
The effectiveness of environmental movements varies significantly depending on their targets, with pressure on financial institutions proving particularly successful compared to lobbying politicians. Campaigns specifically targeting banks saw high efficacy, with 28 out of 30 such initiatives achieving some degree of success 1. In contrast, efforts directed at political figures were less effective, with only 39% securing either partial or full victory 1. This pattern underscores the strategic importance of selecting specific institutional leverage points rather than broad political appeals 1.
Recent legal and policy developments in Australia illustrate how sustained community effort can yield concrete results consistent with the study’s findings. In New South Wales, the Supreme Court ruled three-to-two that the approval for the Mount Pleasant coal mine expansion was invalid, marking the culmination of four years of work by community groups 1. Similarly, the Victorian government announced in 2023 its decision to end native forest harvesting in state-owned forests starting in 2024, representing a major milestone after thirty years of intermittent campaigning 1. These cases highlight how judicial outcomes and policy shifts often emerge from prolonged, targeted advocacy rather than isolated events 1.
评论
还没有评论，欢迎留下第一条。