第6届中国国际进口博览会将于11月5日至10日在上海举行,由中国商务部和上海市政府共同主办 1。上海社会科学院学者就进博会对贸易顺差的影响发表观点 1。
上海社科院世界经济研究所研究员周琢表示,进口与出口并非割裂关系,贸易顺差的本质在于产业竞争力,不能简单以顺差大小评判好坏;进博会作为进口平台在短期内可能影响顺差数据 1。上海社科院应用经济研究所副所长汤蕴懿指出,进博会为中小企业提供了接触中国市场的重要公共平台 1。
背景数据显示,中国9月出口年增逾3成,预估今年顺差可能再创新高 1。
The sixth edition of the China International Import Expo (CIIE) is scheduled to take place in Shanghai from November 5 to 10, organized jointly by the Ministry of Commerce and the Shanghai municipal government 1. Amidst ongoing global trade tensions, there is significant attention on whether this major import platform can help narrow China’s trade surplus and alleviate pressure from trade disputes 1. Recent data indicates that China’s exports grew by more than 30% year-on-year in September, leading to estimates that the annual trade surplus may reach a new high this year 1.
Experts from the Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences have offered nuanced perspectives on the event's economic implications. Zhou Zhuo, a researcher at the Institute of World Economy, argues that imports and exports are not isolated phenomena, noting that the fundamental driver of a trade surplus remains industrial competitiveness rather than mere transaction volumes 1. He emphasizes that the size of a surplus should not be simply judged as positive or negative without considering these structural factors 1. Meanwhile, Tang Yunyi, deputy director of the Institute of Applied Economics, highlights the expo’s role as a vital public platform, providing small and medium-sized enterprises with essential opportunities to access the Chinese market 1.
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