英国热泵安装商担忧政府预算案削减补贴，行业恐受重创

英国热泵安装企业正密切关注即将于周三公布的政府预算案，担心用于支持低碳供暖转型的财政激励措施遭到削减。1 业界普遍担忧，若锅炉升级计划（BUS）等关键补贴项目被大幅压缩或突然取消，将对刚刚起步的绿色能源转型造成灾难性打击，并引发业务萎缩、学徒工失业及本土制造业衰退等一系列连锁反应。1

作为2022年推出的核心激励政策，BUS旨在通过提供高达9000英镑的前期拨款，鼓励家庭改用低碳供暖系统。1 数据显示，建筑物供暖占英国温室气体排放总量的近五分之一，但市场渗透率依然处于低位：挪威每1000户家庭的热泵安装量达到632台，而英国这一数据仅为3.5台。1 在2024年于英国销售的热泵中，约三分之一由国内生产，但供应链和制造能力的进一步扩展高度依赖稳定的政策支持。1

来自一线企业的反馈证实了当前市场对补贴的高度依赖性。Sustain Homes公司运营总监Bill Tuck透露，该公司约75%的客户依靠政府补贴来支付热泵费用。1 Ask Renewables创始人Adam Killa指出历史教训：2022年可再生能源热激励计划（RHI）关闭后，其周安装量从六至八台骤降至零，这种剧烈波动凸显了政策连续性的至关重要性。1

面对外界的猜测与担忧，英国政府发言人明确表示“不对预算猜测发表评论”。1 尽管官方强调致力于降低民众账单并投资清洁能源，但未直接回应关于具体预算分配的细节质疑。1

UK heat pump installers are expressing deep concern that the government plans to reduce funding for subsidy schemes in the budget announcement scheduled for Wednesday, a move industry figures fear could devastate the nascent green energy transition 1. The proposed cuts target the Boiler Upgrade Scheme (BUS), which was launched in 2022 to provide households with upfront grants of up to £9,000 for switching to low-carbon heating systems 1. With building heating accounting for nearly one-fifth of the UK’s greenhouse gas emissions, the sector argues that abrupt reductions or cancellations of this support would undermine critical decarbonization efforts 1.

The reliance on these subsidies is significant, according to Bill Tuck, Operations Director at Sustain Homes, who stated that approximately 75% of his company’s clients depend on government funds to afford heat pumps 1. Industry leaders point to historical precedent to illustrate the fragility of the market; Adam Killa, founder of Ask Renewables, noted that after the Renewable Heat Incentive (RHI) closed in 2022, weekly installation volumes plummeted from six to eight units to zero 1. Furthermore, domestic manufacturing faces potential decline, as about one-third of heat pumps sold in the UK in 2024 were produced locally 1. The disparity in adoption rates remains stark, with Norway installing 632 heat pumps per 1,000 homes compared to just 3.5 in the UK 1. Despite the government’s stated commitment to lowering bills and investing in clean energy, officials have not directly commented on specific budget speculation, with a spokesperson reiterating only that they do not respond to pre-announcement rumors 1.