澳大利亚维多利亚州大选定于11月28日举行 1。最新Newspoll调查（样本量1017人，调查期为10月15日至22日）显示，自由党联盟在两党偏好支持率中以55%对45%大幅领先工党，有望赢得多数席位 1。与此同时，昆士兰州的DemosAU民调显示，LNP联盟的两党支持率以57%对43%领先工党 1。
在联邦层面，YouGov民调（样本量1542人，调查期为10月13日至20日）显示，工党的初选得票率降至24%，创下本届任期最低纪录；总理阿尔巴尼斯的净支持率跌至-30，亦创历史新低 1。此外，背景信息显示，巴西总统大选第二轮投票中，卢拉以51.8%对48.2%击败弗拉维奥·博索纳罗；加拿大阿尔伯塔省独立公投结果则显示，“留在加拿大”选项以75.0%对25.0%胜出 1。
The Liberal-National Party coalition has established a significant advantage over the Labor party in the latest Newspoll regarding the upcoming Victorian state election, which is scheduled for November 28 1. The survey, conducted between October 15 and 22 with a sample size of 1,017 respondents, indicates that the coalition leads on a two-party preferred basis by a margin of 55 to 45 percent 1. This polling result suggests the coalition is well-positioned to secure a majority government in the state parliament.
While the focus remains on Victoria, broader federal sentiment continues to trend downward for Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s administration according to separate YouGov data 1. In a poll fielded from October 13 to 20 among 1,542 participants, the Australian Labor Party’s first-preference vote dropped to 24 percent, marking its lowest level during the current term 1. Concurrently, Mr. Albanese’s net approval rating fell to negative 30, representing his historic low as prime minister 1. Other regional polls show similar trends, with the Queensland LNP holding a 57–43 two-party preferred lead over Labor in recent DemosAU surveys 1.
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