塞尔维亚领导人亚历山大·武契奇在提前举行的国民议会选举中承认失败 23。此次选举于2026年10月25日进行,由前总统武契奇领导的“塞尔维亚前进党”主导的“亚历山大·武契奇-团结的塞尔维亚”选举联盟遭遇挫败 1。反对派“学生名单-学生获胜”预计成为最大赢家 1。贝尔格莱德街头民众为这一政治变革举行庆祝活动 23。
关于具体的议席预测数据,不同来源的报道存在差异。中国新闻社指出,“学生名单-学生获胜”预计获得135至140个议席,而武契奇领导的选举联盟预计获得约105席 1。相比之下,《卫报》援引CeSID的预测称,学生阵营将直接获得140个议席,远超多数所需的126席门槛;武契奇集团仅获103席 4。此外,《卫报》报道没有其他政党跨越3%的进入门槛,剩余7个议席将由少数民族政党获得 4。
关于得票数据,中国新闻社指出,“学生名单-学生获胜”预计获得约220万张选票,而武契奇领导的选举联盟预计获得约172万张选票 1。在首批203个投票站的计票结果中,武契奇阵营得票率为54.69%,“学生名单-学生获胜”得票率为36.04% 1。
本次选举涉及约645万名登记选民和8392个投票站,共有18份参选名单参与竞争 1。匈牙利总理彼得·马杰尔对塞尔维亚局势表示“怀旧”,并将其与匈牙利早前推翻维克托·欧尔班的事件进行对比 4。国际观察团计划在选举次日下午发布初步报告 4。
Serbian leader Aleksandar Vučić has acknowledged defeat in the country’s snap parliamentary election, held on October 25, 2026 123. The election saw a historic political shift as a student-led opposition movement overthrew his long-standing rule 23. Celebrations erupted in Belgrade streets as citizens welcomed the change, marking a seismic transformation in Serbia’s political landscape 23.
The opposition coalition "Student List – Students Win" is projected to emerge as the largest force, securing between 135 and 140 seats out of the 250 available in the National Assembly 1. According to predictions from CeSID, the student faction secured 140 seats, surpassing the 126-seat threshold required to form a parliamentary majority 14. Meanwhile, the electoral list led by Vučić’s Serbian Progressive Party, titled "Aleksandar Vučić – Serbia United," is expected to obtain approximately 103 to 105 seats 14. No other parties crossed the 3% electoral threshold, meaning the remaining seven seats were distributed among minority community representatives 4.
The election involved nearly 6.45 million registered voters across 8,392 polling stations, with 18 candidate lists participating 1. In terms of popular support, the student coalition is estimated to have garnered about 2.2 million votes, while Vučić’s alliance received roughly 1.72 million votes 1. Preliminary vote counts from the first 203 stations initially showed Vučić’s coalition leading with a 54.69% share compared to the student group’s 36.04%, though final projections indicate a reversal of this trend in total seat allocation 1. International monitoring missions are scheduled to release their preliminary report on voting processes later in the day following the count 4.
Hungarian Prime Minister Péter Magyar commented on the developments in Serbia, expressing a sense of "nostalgia" regarding the events and drawing parallels to the recent political transition in Hungary that saw Viktor Orbán removed from power 4. Analysts note that this outcome positions the student faction to lead the new government, potentially improving relations with the European Union and other partners 14.
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