以色列将于周二举行大选，这是自2023年10月7日哈马斯袭击以来的首次全国选举12。现任总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡领导的执政联盟与前军事参谋长盖迪·艾森科特率领的反对派联盟在最新民调中势均力敌2。本次选举预计将吸引约50万首次投票者以及约7万从国外飞回的以色列人参与投票2。
选民对国家未来的政治方向存在深刻分裂2。在民主制度、司法权力、军事服役和对加沙态度等问题上，双方竞争激烈2。内塔尼亚胡以"绝不投降"为竞选口号，将重点放在以色列安全和伊朗威胁问题上2。艾森科特则表示这次选举关乎以色列作为自由宽容民主国家的身份1，并承诺在18个月内通过美国和平计划或军事行动结束哈马斯对加沙的统治2。
10月7日的哈马斯袭击造成了深远影响。哈马斯武装人员杀害近1200人，俘虏251人2。随后以色列在加沙的军事行动中，根据哈马斯卫生部数据，已造成超74000名巴勒斯坦人死亡2。民调显示，超过70%的以色列犹太人支持建立针对10月7日攭击的国家调查委员会2。此外，民调表明超过16%的首次投票者将选择伊塔玛尔·本·吉维尔等极右翼政党2。内塔尼亚胡将阿拉伯政党描述为威胁3，而这些政党的立场可能对其政治前景产生关键影响3。
Israel is conducting what observers describe as one of the most consequential elections in the nation's history, held on Tuesday as the first major electoral contest since the October 7, 2023 Hamas attack that killed nearly 1,200 people and resulted in 251 taken captive 12. The vote takes place amid deep national divisions over how to respond to the aftermath of that assault and the subsequent military operations in Gaza.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's governing coalition faces a strong challenge from a center-right opposition alliance led by Gadi Eisenkot, a former military chief of staff 12. Recent polling released Friday indicated the two camps running neck-and-neck in voter support 2. The election represents a potential turning point after Netanyahu's roughly two decades in power, with the possibility of a more left-leaning government taking office 1. Eisenkot has framed the election as pivotal to Israel's standing as a free and tolerant democracy 1, while Netanyahu has prioritized security concerns and threats posed by Iran 2.
Key demographic shifts are evident in the electorate. Approximately 500,000 first-time voters and around 70,000 Israelis who returned from abroad are participating in the vote 2. Polling suggests over 16 percent of first-time voters may support far-right parties such as those represented by Itamar Ben-Gvir 2, while more than 70 percent of Israeli Jews support establishing a national inquiry commission into the October 7 attack 2.
The conflict's toll and future trajectory remain central issues. According to Hamas health ministry figures, Israeli operations in Gaza have resulted in over 74,000 Palestinian deaths 2. Eisenkot has committed to either implementing a U.S.-led peace plan or pursuing military action to end Hamas rule in Gaza within 18 months 2. Netanyahu's campaign message emphasizes that Israel will not surrender, focusing on security and deterrence 2.
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