美国和以色列正在筹划对伊朗发动新一轮军事打击12。据美国高级官员向《纽约时报》透露,两国已制定了针对伊朗的"短期但密集的行动"具体计划1,目标包括伊朗核设施、能源基础设施和导弹无人机库1。美国中期选举定于11月3日1。特朗普曾于10月8日在社交媒体表示美国不会在中期选举前攻击伊朗1。以色列总理内塔尼亚胡声称美国和以色列必须推翻伊朗政权2,他一年前就曾推动特朗普参与伊朗攻击行动2。
军事部署方面,目前有两个美国航母打击群在阿拉伯海,第三个预计在11月底前到达1。特朗普在10月15日告诉新闻网Newsmax,正在考虑对纳坦兹核设施附近的皮克斯山进行打击1。美国上次对伊朗发动打击在9月初1。
伊朗方面宣称已做好应对准备1。伊朗外交部长阿拉格奇警告地区国家参与美国或以色列行动将面临"决定性和相称的回应"1。伊朗通过卡塔尔中介向美国提出最新提议,包括以伊朗控制下重开霍尔木兹海峡换取美国解除海上封锁1。
The United States and Israel are developing concrete plans for a military operation targeting Iran's nuclear facilities, energy infrastructure, and missile and drone arsenals1. According to reporting based on briefings from senior American officials, the two countries have formulated specific designs for "short-term but intensive" action against Iran1. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has stated that the U.S. and Israel must work to overthrow Iran's regime2.
The timing of these preparations appears linked to the U.S. midterm elections scheduled for November 3rd1. On October 8th, former President Trump posted on social media that the United States would not attack Iran before the midterm elections1, suggesting that post-election developments could remove political obstacles to such action. Trump subsequently told Newsmax on October 15th that he was considering strikes near the Picss mountain range close to the Natanz nuclear facility1. The last major U.S. military operation against Iran occurred in early September1.
Military positioning reflects operational readiness, with two American carrier strike groups currently deployed in the Arabian Sea and a third expected to arrive by late November1. In response to these threats, Iran's Foreign Minister Araghchi warned regional nations that participation in any American or Israeli military operation would face "decisive and proportionate" consequences1. Iran has also conveyed new proposals through Qatar as an intermediary, offering to reopen the Strait of Hormuz under Iranian control in exchange for the lifting of American maritime blockade measures1.
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