无人配送车产业面临规模快速增长与监管体系不健全的矛盾。据预测，2026年国内无人配送车新增投放约6.8万台，到2030年年产销量有望达到86万台，累计保有量将超过200万台1。然而，这一产业的发展正遭遇制度瓶颈。各地对无人配送车的准入、通行及监管要求采取"一城一策"的做法，资质互认不足，导致跨城部署时可能需要重复测试和申报1。
深圳市中安无人系统研究院副院长陈锐辉指出，"制度和体系反而会成为产业发展的最大瓶颈"1。制度和体系建设滞后于技术发展的步伐，城市需要在技术迭代与制度建设之间找到平衡点。中安无人系统研究院自2015年成立以来，2020年起便参与功能型无人小车团体标准建设及监管平台调研1，为产业规范化提供技术支撑。建立统一的法律身份界定和管理体系，已成为推动无人配送车产业健康发展的当务之急。
China's autonomous delivery vehicle industry is poised for significant expansion, with projections showing approximately 68,000 new units deployed by 2026 and annual production and sales reaching 860,000 units by 2030, potentially accumulating over 2 million vehicles in total 1. However, this rapid growth is being hampered by fragmented governance frameworks across different cities.
The lack of unified legal status and management systems for autonomous delivery vehicles has created substantial obstacles to industry development 1. Currently, each city adopts its own approach to vehicle admission, circulation, and oversight requirements, resulting in inconsistent standards and insufficient mutual recognition of qualifications 1. This fragmentation means that cross-city deployment may require vehicles to undergo repeated testing and regulatory applications, imposing additional burdens on operators.
Industry experts underscore that institutional and systemic development has fallen behind technological advancement. According to Chen Ruihui, vice director of the Shenzhen Zhong'an Unmanned Systems Research Institute, "institutional and systemic frameworks may become the largest bottleneck for industry development" 1. For cities to successfully build human-machine-friendly urban environments, they must strike a balance between technological iteration and institutional construction.
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