以色列即将举行大选，民调显示内塔尼亚胡领导的右翼政权和由艾森科特领导的反对党"变革联盟"各获得约50个议会席位，而阿拉伯政党预计获得13至14席，这使其可能掌握决定性的平衡力量 1。然而，阿拉伯政党对政府组建的影响力面临重大障碍——艾森科特因"缺乏共同价值观"拒绝与阿拉伯政党组建政府 1。
自2023年10月7日哈马斯袭击以来，阿拉伯以色列人面临恶劣境况，包括系统性歧视、煽动仇恨、工作解雇、种族攻击和预算削减 1。2024年阿拉伯以色列人社区内谋杀案达到252起的纪录高位，约为犹太以色列人被害者的五倍 1。同时，极右翼财政部长贝扎莱尔·斯莫特里奇誓言将加利利北部和内盖夫南部的地区"犹太化" 1。在这样的背景下，9月以色列民主研究所的民调显示，帮派犯罪对阿拉伯公民的选票决定最为重要，占比达53.5% 1。以色列最高法院驳回了中央选举委员会关于取消阿拉伯统一名单和联合阿拉伯名单参选资格的决定，保障了阿拉伯政党的参选权 1。
Upcoming Israeli elections could see Arab political parties emerge as kingmakers, as polls indicate neither Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's right-wing government nor the opposition "Change Alliance" led by Yair Lapid can secure an outright parliamentary majority on their own 1. With 120 seats in the Knesset at stake, current polling suggests Netanyahu's coalition and the Change Alliance each stand to win approximately 50 seats, while Arab parties are projected to capture between 13 and 14 seats 1. This distribution has positioned Arab representatives as potentially crucial to government formation, yet significant political obstacles remain.
The primary barrier to Arab parties' inclusion in a governing coalition stems from the opposition's refusal to cooperate with them. Lapid and the Change Alliance have rejected partnership with Arab politicians, citing a supposed "lack of shared values" 1. This stance reflects the deteriorating position of Arab Israelis in the country's political landscape. Since the October 7, 2023 Hamas attacks, Arab citizens have faced intensifying "systemic discrimination and incitement," manifesting in widespread job dismissals, racial violence, and budget cuts 1. Far-right Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich has declared an intention to "Judaize" the Galilee region in the north and the Negev region in the south 1, underscoring the hostile climate Arab Israelis confront.
The security situation within Arab communities has further complicated the electoral environment. Murders within Arab Israeli society reached a record 252 in 2024, approximately five times the number of Jewish Israeli homicide victims 1. According to an Israeli Institute for Democracy poll from September, gang violence emerged as the most pressing concern influencing Arab voters' electoral decisions, cited by 53.5 percent of respondents 1. Despite these challenges, Arab parties retained their right to participate after Israel's Supreme Court struck down a Central Elections Committee decision to disqualify the Arab United List and the Joint Arab List from candidacy 1.
评论
还没有评论，欢迎留下第一条。