澳大利亚各首府城市房价同时下跌 十五年来首次

澳大利亚各首府城市在2026年第三季度出现房价集体下跌，这是15年来首次所有首府城市同时面临价格下行1。其中，悉尼房价下跌4.7%至166万澳元，创两年来新低1；墨尔本房价下跌3.3%至101.4万澳元，为四年来最大季度跌幅1；珀斯跌幅最大，下跌4.7%1。

Domain首席住宅经济学家Nicola Powell表示"我们处于买方市场"1。这波房价下跌的主要推手包括高利率、持续的生活成本压力以及房地产投资税政策的变化1。Morgan Stanley经济学家预计房价可能从峰值下跌15%，并在2027年下半年触底1。

Australia's major capital cities have experienced simultaneous house price declines in the third quarter of 2026, marking the first occasion in 15 years that all capital cities recorded falling prices at the same time 1. This represents only the second recorded instance of such widespread price contraction across the country's property markets 1.

Sydney recorded a 4.7 percent decline, bringing median prices to $1.66 million and reaching a two-year low 1. Melbourne followed with a 3.3 percent drop to $1.014 million, representing its largest quarterly decline in four years 1. Perth experienced a 4.7 percent price fall 1. Domain's chief residential economist Nicola Powell commented that "we are in a buyer's market" 1.

The downturn has been driven by elevated interest rates, sustained cost-of-living pressures, and changes to property investment tax policies 1. Morgan Stanley economists have projected that prices could decline as much as 15 percent from their peak, potentially reaching bottom in the second half of 2027 1.