俄罗斯正推动特朗普、普京和习近平召开三边峰会,讨论乌克兰战争解决方案,但拟将乌克兰和欧盟排除在外12。美国特使维特科夫于11月21日在圣彼得堡与普京会晤,普京同意11月10日后恢复华盛顿调停的和平谈判2。莫斯科建议在11月18-19日深圳亚太经合组织峰会期间召开这一会议2。
普京希望在会上达成有利于俄罗斯的条件来结束战争2,并将此次集会视为1945年雅尔塔会议的延续2。中国官员通过外交渠道表示若特朗普同意,则不反对这一三方格局2。但乌克兰总统泽连斯基表示,只有乌克兰获得谈判席位才能接受相关谈判2。
分析人士指出,中国在此事中的角色存在微妙差异。卡内基俄罗斯欧亚中心研究员Temur Umarov认为,"北京希望参与具有象征性的伙伴而非积极调解者"2。美国肯南研究所主任Michael Kimmage表示,"对中国而言,普京的政治生存至关重要"2。
Russia is pushing for a trilateral summit involving Trump, Putin, and Xi Jinping to discuss resolving the Ukraine conflict, deliberately excluding Kyiv and the European Union from negotiations 12. Moscow has specifically proposed holding this meeting during the Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation summit in Shenzhen on November 18-19 2. American envoy met with Putin in Saint Petersburg on November 21, and Putin agreed to resume peace negotiations mediated by Washington after November 10 2.
Putin views the proposed gathering as a continuation of the 1945 Yalta Conference 2, signaling his ambition to reshape the geopolitical order through great-power diplomacy. The Russian leader seeks to reach an agreement on terms favorable to Moscow for ending the war 2. While Ukraine's President Volodymyr Zelensky stated that Kyiv would only accept such negotiations if granted a seat at the table 2, Chinese officials have conveyed through diplomatic channels that they would not object to the trilateral format if Trump agrees to it 2.
Analysts interpret Beijing's cautious position as reflecting deeper strategic interests. According to researchers at the Carnegie Russia and Eurasia Center, China wishes to participate as a symbolic partner rather than an active mediator 2. For Beijing, Putin's political survival remains critically important 2. This nuanced stance allows China to maintain diplomatic flexibility while signaling alignment with Russia without taking on the risks and responsibilities of direct peacemaking.
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