美國國家亞洲研究局資深研究員甘浩森在政治大學發表演講，針對美中台三邊關係發表看法。他指出，美國總統川普與中國領導人習近平推估今年將會晤4次，分別為5月北京會晤、9月華府會晤、11月APEC領導人峰會及12月G20邁阿密峰會1。
甘浩森表示，將台灣形容為可交易籌碼的觀點「比較像是媒體炒作出來的故事，不是真正存在的事情」1。他認為台灣應該更有信心，強調「台灣不應該認為自己是棋子，因為台灣不是」1。同時，他表示美國對中國灰色地帶侵擾行動的態度大致會維持現狀1。
甘浩森進一步指出，只要美中貿易休戰狀態持續，因台灣議題爆發戰爭的可能性就非常低1。
Gan Haosen, a senior researcher at the U.S. National Bureau of Asian Research, cautioned against portraying Taiwan as a negotiable asset during a lecture at National Chengchi University.1 He estimated that U.S. President Trump and Chinese leader Xi Jinping are projected to hold four meetings this year, including visits to Beijing in May and Washington in September, as well as meetings at the APEC Leaders' Summit in November and the G20 Summit in Miami in December.1
Addressing concerns about Taiwan's position in broader U.S.-China relations, Gan argued that "Taiwan should not think of itself as a chess piece, because Taiwan is not."1 He characterized much of the discussion surrounding Taiwan as a tradeable element in a potential U.S.-China "grand deal" as largely media-driven speculation rather than substantive reality.1 Gan also noted that the United States is expected to maintain its current posture toward Chinese gray-zone activities.1
Regarding the prospect of conflict, Gan assessed that as long as the U.S.-China trade truce remains in effect, the likelihood of war breaking out over Taiwan is very low.1
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