特朗普政府调整对缅甸政策，寻求经贸合作

特朗普政府正在改变长期以来对缅甸军政权的孤立立场。1美国助理国务卿迈克尔·万斯于9月15日至16日在缅甸首都内比都与军政权领导人敏昂莱举行会晤，这是敏昂莱发动军事政变以来双方进行的最高级别接触。1同时，美国从制裁名单中移除了部分缅甸商业人士，并停止对缅甸定于12月至1月举行的争议性选举进行批评。1

美国政策调整的动因包括寻求稀土资源以替代中国供应以及应对中国在该地区的影响力。1缅甸方面积极争取与美国的关系改善，已与华盛顿游说公司DCI签署价值300万美元的合同，并雇佣罗杰·斯通担任游说代理，月费5万美元。1该地区选举将允许敏昂莱将自身身份从军事政变发动者转变为名义上的平民总统。1

不过，国际关系分析人士指出，尽管政策信号向好，但实际改变幅度有限。1国际危机组织缅甸顾问理查德·霍西表示，"实践中的变化远少于头条新闻所暗示的程度"，敏昂莱仍然受到美国制裁。1与此同时，特朗普政府解散了美国国际开发署，将对反对派团体、持不同政见媒体和难民的援助削减超过一半，并撤回了4000名缅甸人的临时保护身份。1

The Trump administration is recalibrating its long-standing policy of isolating Myanmar's military regime, signaling a potential opening toward closer engagement with the country. Michael Vance, a senior U.S. official, met with Myanmar leader Min Aung Hlaing on September 15 and 16 in the capital Nay Pyi Taw—marking the highest-level contact between the two sides since Min Aung Hlaing seized power 1. As part of the policy shift, the United States has removed certain Burmese business figures from its sanctions list and ceased public criticism of controversial elections scheduled for December and January that would allow Min Aung Hlaing to rebrand himself from military coup leader to nominal civilian president 1.

The recalibration reflects broader geopolitical calculations, with the administration reportedly seeking alternative sources of rare earth materials to reduce dependence on Chinese supplies and to counter Beijing's regional influence 1. Myanmar has simultaneously mobilized significant diplomatic resources, signing a $3 million contract with Washington lobbying firm DCI and hiring prominent political operative Roger Stone as a lobbyist at a monthly fee of $50,000 1. However, observers caution that the apparent shift masks limited substantive change on the ground—International Crisis Group Myanmar adviser Richard Horsey noted that "in practice there is less change than the headlines suggest," with Min Aung Hlaing remaining subject to sanctions 1. The policy realignment also reflects broader Trump administration priorities, including the dissolution of USAID and cuts exceeding 50 percent in assistance to opposition groups, independent media, and refugees 1.