距离新西兰大选仅两周半之际，最新民调显示右翼政党维持明显领先优势。根据Verian机构10月15-19日进行的民调，国家党获得32%支持率，工党27%，绿党16%，ACT党11%，新西兰优先党8%，机会党7%，毛利党0.7%1。在这份民调中，右翼政党（国家党、ACT党、新西兰优先党）合计支持率达51%，左翼政党（工党、绿党）合计43.7%，右翼领先7.3个百分点1。
不同民调机构对机会党能否跨越5%法定门槛的评估存在差异。Curia机构在10月1-5日的民调中显示机会党支持率为4.8%，未达门槛，同期右翼领先幅度为6.8个百分点1。相比之下，Anacta和Freshwater两家机构的最近民调均显示机会党超过5%门槛，分别达到5.4%，同期右翼领先幅度分别为1.1和3.4个百分点1。尽管民调存在波动，各机构的数据均表明，即使机会党成功进入议会，右翼联盟仍有可能单独获得议会多数席位。
在毛利选区方面，民调对七个毛利选区的预测显示毛利党将赢得3个席位，工党赢得4个席位1。经济前景方面，受访者中认为经济未来12个月将改善的比例为43%，相对恶化的比例为21%，这一乐观指标为今年最低水平1。
With two-and-a-half weeks until New Zealand's general election, recent polling indicates the right-wing coalition of the National Party, ACT Party, and New Zealand First maintains a substantial advantage over left-wing opponents, even if the centrist Opportunity Party clears the parliamentary threshold.1
The Verian poll conducted from October 15-19 showed the National Party at 32 percent support, followed by the Labour Party at 27 percent, the Greens at 16 percent, ACT at 11 percent, and New Zealand First at 8 percent.1 The Opportunity Party polled at 7 percent, while the Maori Party remained at 0.7 percent.1 Combined, right-wing parties achieved 51 percent support against the left-wing bloc's 43.7 percent, representing a 7.3 percentage point lead.1 This margin suggests the right could secure a parliamentary majority independently, even if the Opportunity Party—which requires 5 percent to enter Parliament—gains representation.1
Other polling organizations present a more mixed picture regarding the Opportunity Party's prospects. The Curia poll from October 1-5 recorded the right-wing advantage at 6.8 points but found the Opportunity Party at just 4.8 percent, below the threshold.1 By contrast, both the Anacta poll (October 6-10) and Freshwater poll (October 9-19) showed Opportunity at 5.4 percent, suggesting it would enter Parliament in those scenarios, though the overall right-wing lead narrowed to 1.1 and 3.4 points respectively.1 Regarding Maori electorate races, polling indicates the Maori Party will capture 3 of seven seats while Labour wins 4.1
Consumer sentiment shows signs of cautious optimism, with 43 percent of respondents expecting economic improvement over the next twelve months, compared to 21 percent anticipating deterioration—marking the least pessimistic assessment recorded this year.1
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