阿尔伯塔省举行独立公投，省内分歧深刻

阿尔伯塔省选民将于周一投票决定是否保留在加拿大，或是举行第二次具有约束力的独立公投1。这场公投反映了省内的深刻分裂，甚至在分离主义阵营内部也存在明显分歧1。

加拿大总理卡尼与多位前任总理联合反对独立，强调分离的严重后果1。卡尼明确表示，"这不是扑克。投票反对加拿大是危险的虚张声势，将导致多年的深度不确定性和失去机会"1。省长丹妮尔·史密斯估计分离过渡成本约为加币400亿元，加上年度成本介于250亿至500亿加币1，但卡尔加里大学公共政策学院则估计五年内成本可达加币1700亿元1。

黑脚联邦主席特洛伊·诺尔顿从宪政角度反驳独立主张，表示"阿尔伯塔在宪法上没有分离的权利"1。第一民族通过成功诉讼强制政府改变公投措辞，该修改基于五项皇冠条约涵盖现代阿尔伯塔地区的事实1。此外，十月份曝光的分离主义者与共和党特务和美国国务院工作人员会议进一步加剧了争议，这些会议涉及石油特许权和淡水资源交换等内容1。

Alberta will hold a referendum on Monday to decide whether to remain in Canada or proceed with a second binding independence vote 1. The ballot question reflects profound disagreements within the province, extending even to fractures among separatist movements themselves 1.

Premier Danielle Smith estimates the transition costs of separation at approximately C$40 billion, with additional annual costs ranging from C$25 billion to C$50 billion 1. However, the University of Calgary's School of Public Policy projects significantly higher expenses, estimating total costs could reach C$170 billion within five years 1. Prime Minister Kayne has joined multiple former premiers in opposing independence, warning that "this is not poker. Voting against Canada is dangerous bluffing that will result in years of deep uncertainty and lost opportunity" 1.

The referendum has already sparked legal action from First Nations communities. A successful lawsuit by Indigenous groups forced the government to revise the referendum wording, based on five Crown treaties covering the territory of modern-day Alberta 1. Blackfoot Confederacy President Troy Norton stated that "Alberta has no constitutional right to separate" 1. In October, media reports exposed meetings between separatist representatives and Republican operatives as well as U.S. State Department officials, during which discussions about oil concessions and freshwater resources exchanges took place 1.