特朗普政府2月对伊朗发起军事行动导致油价飙升，进而引发美国选民的广泛不满1。自2月28日以来，遍布美国的196,000个加油站向2.42亿有驾照的美国人不断传递汽油价格大幅上升的信息1。超过50%的美国人在加油时面临困难1，这一普遍的生活压力正在成为即将到来的中期选举中的关键议题。
战争本身缺乏民众支持，加剧了这一政治困境。伊朗战争仅得到40%美国民众支持，是美国历史上首次主要战争未获多数民众支持1。71%的选民认为特朗普没有战争结束计划1，而此前的停火协议也未能有效控制局势——4月停火协议仅维持4天，6月停火协议仅维持3周1。这种战争政策的不确定性与持续上升的能源成本相叠加，正在侵蚀特朗普在美国50个州中的40个州的民意支持率1。
能源价格的连锁效应进一步扩大了这一政治风险。超过70%的美国货运商品由卡车运输，其中70%使用柴油1，这意味着油价上涨将通过供应链推高各类商品成本，加重普通消费者的负担。
Rising gasoline costs have become a central point of political discontent as Americans prepare for midterm voting. The Trump administration's February military action against Iran triggered a sharp surge in oil prices, leaving more than half of all Americans struggling with fuel costs at the pump.1 Across the nation's approximately 196,000 gas stations, the message of significantly elevated prices reaches 242 million licensed drivers.1
The unpopular military campaign has compounded the administration's electoral challenges. The Iran war has secured support from only 40 percent of Americans, marking the first major U.S. military conflict to lack majority public backing in the nation's history.1 According to Fox News polling, 71 percent of voters believe Trump lacks a strategy to end the conflict.1 Brief ceasefire attempts have failed to provide relief: an April agreement lasted merely four days, while a June accord held for only three weeks.1 Meanwhile, White House and military sources indicate the administration is considering deploying the "Mother of All Bombs" to completely destroy Iranian military capabilities.1
The combination of sustained high energy costs and military policy uncertainty has eroded Trump's political standing considerably. His approval rating has declined across 40 of the nation's 50 states.1 With energy expenses continuing to climb—affecting not only individual drivers but also the 70 percent of transported goods reliant on diesel-powered trucks—voter frustration shows little sign of abating before the midterm contests.1
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