澳大利亚前财政部长、现任经合组织秘书长马蒂亚斯·科尔曼近日发出警告,主流政党采纳民粹主义政策来应对生活成本问题将徒劳无功。1科尔曼将在周六晚间向独立研究中心发表讲话,阐述这一立场。1他指出,"主流政党通过采纳民粹主义经济学来应对民粹浪潮不会夺回选民。他们失败两次。"1
科尔曼主张以结构性改革应对澳大利亚的生活成本危机。1他认为,解决问题的根本途径包括增加住房供应、降低能源成本、实现实际工资增长和维持可信的预算平衡。1"没有捷径可以降低生活成本。没有民粹主义的捷径,通过关税、限额和国营银行,"1他强调。1
针对移民政策,科尔曼援引经合组织研究数据指出,在接纳更多移民的地区,澳大利亚本土出生工人的就业增长反而更快,工资水平并无明显受影响。1他进一步警告,任意实施移民限额、关税等民粹政策实际上会提高农民、矿工和建筑工人的经营成本。1
这一警告发出之际,民粹政党"一国党"在2025年联邦选举后支持率上升至25%,超过了自由党—国家党联盟的22%。1
Mathias Cormann, secretary-general of the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development and former Australian treasurer, has cautioned mainstream Australian political parties against adopting populist economic measures to address the cost of living 1. In a speech to be delivered Saturday evening to the Centre for Independent Studies, Cormann argues that mimicking populism will not reclaim voters, despite One Nation's support rising to 25 percent following the 2025 federal election, surpassing the Coalition's 22 percent 1.
Cormann contends that lasting solutions require a fundamentally different approach: increasing housing supply, reducing energy costs, achieving real wage growth, and maintaining credible fiscal budgeting 1. "There are no shortcuts to lowering the cost of living. There are no populist shortcuts through tariffs, quotas and state-owned banks," he stated 1. According to OECD research cited by Cormann, regions receiving higher immigration have experienced faster employment growth among Australian-born workers, with no significant wage impacts 1.
The OECD secretary-general specifically warns that arbitrary immigration restrictions, tariffs, and similar policies would increase costs for farmers, miners, and construction workers 1. Cormann's position reflects his conviction that mainstream parties attempting to adopt populist economics will fail twice over—both in electoral terms and in solving the actual problems facing Australian households 1.
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