国际货币基金组织副欧洲部主任赫尔格·伯格向英国财政大臣约翰·希利建议，在预算中应优先考虑改革养老金三重锁和社会福利制度，而非对银行征收更高税率1。这一建议针对英国当前税收占国内生产总值约40%的情况提出1。
英国四大银行（汇丰、国民西敏、巴克莱和劳埃德）今年上半年共报告利润292亿英镑，其中137亿英镑用于股息和回购1。过去五年，这四家银行累计税前利润达2000亿英镑1。然而，银行业游说团体对加税前景提出强烈警告——英国金融业协会首席执行官戴维·波斯廷表示，若将银行附加费从3%提高到8%，将导致英国国内生产总值在2029至2030年比预期低12亿英镑，同期银行贷款将减少104亿英镑1。由于2023年以来银行附加费已被削减，英国财政部因此损失了60亿英镑税收1。
经济学家菲利普·奥古尔对银行业的主张持不同看法，认为银行有能力承受适度增税，并表示这样的措施可筹集20至30亿英镑年收入1。摩根大通首席执行官杰米·戴蒙曾在5月表示，如果英国政府对银行不友好，他可能会放弃30亿英镑伦敦总部计划1。
The International Monetary Fund has advised Britain's Finance Minister John Healey to pursue reforms to pensions and social welfare instead of increasing taxes on banks.1 Helge Berg, Deputy Director of the IMF's Europe Department, made the recommendation regarding the government's budget planning.1
The IMF's guidance comes as Britain's tax burden stands at approximately 40% of GDP, reflecting historically elevated levels.1 The four largest UK banks—HSBC, NatWest, Barclays, and Lloyds—reported combined profits of 29.2 billion pounds in the first half of the year, with 13.7 billion pounds allocated to dividends and share buybacks.1 These same institutions have accumulated 200 billion pounds in pre-tax profits over the past five years.1
The Treasury has lost 6 billion pounds in tax revenue since 2023 due to reductions in the bank surcharge.1 UK Finance Chief Executive David Postin warned that raising the bank surcharge from 3% to 8% would reduce UK GDP by 1.2 billion pounds in 2029-30, while bank lending would decline by 10.4 billion pounds during that period.1 However, economist Philip Aghel countered that banks possess sufficient capacity to absorb a modest tax increase, potentially generating annual revenues of 20 to 30 billion pounds.1 JPMorgan Chase Chief Executive Jamie Dimon stated in May that he might abandon a planned 3 billion pound investment in a London headquarters if the UK government adopts an unfriendly stance toward banks.1
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