10月5日至11日期间,霍尔木兹海峡及周边海域报告的船舶攻击事件达到历史新高,共有12艘船舶遭到攻击,其中10月6日单日就有6艘船舶被击中,创造单日最高纪录1。伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队被指在回应美国及地区盟国加强护送措施的策略,已将攻击范围扩大至距海峡250公里以上的地区1。
具体事件中,尼加拉瓜籍油轮Petro Dolphin在距海峡250公里的苏哈尔锚地附近遭无人机击中,11名印度籍船员获救,2人失踪1。集装箱船GFS Pride在10月8日因未知弹体击中而在海峡内沉没,21名船员安全撤离,伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队随后声称该船运载"2500个集装箱违禁品"并采取了"未授权路线"1。
攻击事件的加剧已对中东能源出口产生实际影响。通过霍尔木兹海峡的石油日均出口量从9月末的1500万桶降至10月13日的1260万桶,较战前基线1700万桶下降明显1。与此同时,美国海军数据显示10月前10天获得援助通过霍尔木兹海峡的船舶数量比8月同期增加了85%1。轨道风险情报公司CEO Martin Kelly表示伊朗"每天进行接近日常性或多次攻击"1。
The Strait of Hormuz and surrounding waters experienced an unprecedented surge in reported vessel attacks during the first half of October, with twelve ships targeted between October 5 and 11—marking the highest weekly toll since the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran began 1. A single day proved particularly severe, as six vessels were struck on October 6 alone, establishing a new daily record 1.
The escalating attacks reflect an expanded geographic scope, with Iran now targeting commercial shipping far beyond the strait's immediate vicinity. The Nicaraguan-flagged oil tanker Petro Dolphin was struck by a drone while anchored near Sohar, approximately 250 kilometers from the strait, resulting in the rescue of eleven Indian crew members and the loss of two others 1. Days later, the container ship GFS Pride sank on October 8 after being hit by an unidentified projectile within the strait itself; all twenty-one crew members were safely evacuated 1. Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps claimed the vessel carried "2,500 containers of prohibited goods" and had taken an "unauthorized route" 1.
The surge in maritime incidents has begun to constrain energy flows through one of the world's most critical chokepoints. Daily oil exports passing through the strait fell to 12.6 million barrels by October 13, down from 15 million barrels at the end of September and below the pre-war baseline of 17 million barrels 1. Concurrently, U.S. Navy data documented an 85 percent increase in the number of vessels receiving assistance to transit the strait during the first ten days of October compared to the same period in August 1. According to Martin Kelly, CEO of Orbits Risk Intelligence, Iran is conducting near-daily or multiple attacks as a matter of routine 1.
评论
还没有评论,欢迎留下第一条。