澳大利亚9月失业率攀升至4.7%，创2021年10月以来最高纪录1。国际货币基金组织预测该国失业率将从今年平均4.4%上升至明年的4.7%，届时失业人数将接近80万1。
专家表示，强劲的劳动力市场对于吸引技术移民至关重要，但失业率持续上升可能会阻止移民来澳1。
各政党对此采取了不同的应对策略。联盟党提议将净海外移民降至10万，同时将技术签证增加10万1；工党计划到2028年将净海外移民降至22.5万1；一国党则计划将签证上限定在每年13万1。专家对联盟党的方案提出质疑，认为其在逻辑上存在矛盾1。
经济和就业机会是第一代移民来澳的主要原因1。2021年财政部论文估计每位技术移民为澳大利亚经济带来19.8万澳元的收益1。然而，约四分之一的永久技术移民在澳大利亚从事低于其技能水平的工作1。
Australia's labor market is showing signs of weakness that could undermine efforts to attract international talent. The country's unemployment rate reached 4.7 percent in September, marking the highest level since October 2021.1 The International Monetary Fund projects the rate will rise to 4.7 percent next year from an average of 4.4 percent this year, with unemployment affecting nearly 800,000 people.1
This deterioration comes as policymakers across the political spectrum seek to reduce net overseas migration. The Coalition proposes cutting net overseas migration to 100,000 annually while simultaneously increasing skilled visa allocations by 100,000.1 Labor has committed to reducing net overseas migration to 225,000 by 2028,1 while One Nation advocates for an annual visa cap of 130,000.1 However, experts have questioned the logical consistency of the Coalition's approach. Economic and employment opportunities remain the primary reason first-generation migrants choose to move to Australia,1 and a sustained rise in unemployment could prove deterrent to potential skilled workers considering relocation. A 2021 Treasury paper estimated that each skilled migrant contributes 198,000 Australian dollars to the economy,1 yet approximately one-quarter of permanent skilled migrants currently work in roles below their qualification level.1
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