法新社调查预测Q3中国经济增速4.4%

法新社最新调查预测，中国第三季度经济同比增长率为4.4%1，略低于官方全年4.5%-5%的增长目标1。这一增速延续了今年以来的放缓趋势，第一季度增长5%，第二季度增长4.3%1。

经济学家普遍指出中国经济增势有所衰退。牛津经济研究院高级经济学家Sheana Yue表示"现有数据表明，中国经济失去动力"1。疲弱的内需成为核心挑战，特别是消费和房地产投资领域表现不振1。国际货币基金组织也在本周下调了对中国全年增速的预期，从4.6%下修至4.5%1。中国将于19日公布第三季度经济成长数据1。

An Agence France-Presse survey predicts China's third-quarter economic growth will reach 4.4% year-on-year, falling short of the government's full-year target range of 4.5% to 5% 1. This marks a continuation of slowing expansion after the first and second quarters recorded growth rates of 5% and 4.3%, respectively 1.

Economists have flagged mounting headwinds facing the world's second-largest economy. Sheana Yue, a senior economist at Oxford Economics, stated that "available data indicates China's economy has lost momentum" 1. The underlying weakness stems from persistent soft domestic demand, particularly in consumption and real estate investment sectors 1. The International Monetary Fund has reinforced these concerns by revising its full-year growth forecast for China downward from 4.6% to 4.5% 1.

China's annual growth target of 4.5% to 5% represents the first time in decades that the country has set its GDP growth goal below the 5% threshold 1. Official third-quarter economic data is scheduled for release on October 19 1.