德国社会学家苏珊娜·普雷托领导的研究团队发布最新研究成果，对德国犯罪统计中外国籍居民与德国公民的犯罪率差异进行了深入分析1。虽然警方统计数据显示非德国籍人士的犯罪率更高，但普雷托指出这些数据受到报警偏差的显著影响——非德国籍人士被举报的可能性高两倍1。经过调整这一偏差因素后，外国籍人士的犯罪可能性降至德国人的1.7倍，而非原始统计中的2.6倍1。
在严重暴力犯罪方面，每100名德国公民中有0.2%实施暴力犯罪，而非德国籍人士中这一比例为0.6%1。在青少年群体中，德国青少年中5%对暴力持积极态度，无德国护照者中这一比例达到10%1。然而，研究发现年龄、性别、教育程度和家庭环境等社会经济因素比文化背景更能有效解释犯罪行为的差异1。普雷托强调，年轻男性、教育程度低以及有暴力经历的人群更容易实施暴力行为，而家庭教养在形成暴力态度中起到重要作用1。
研究建议政府加大预防投入，包括从学前教育阶段开始培养青少年的社交技能以及提供基础设施投资1。
German sociologist Susanna Preto and her team have released research analyzing crime statistics disparities between non-German nationals and German citizens in Germany 1. While police data initially show that non-German nationals commit crimes at a higher rate, Preto's findings reveal significant distortions when reporting bias is factored in 1. The apparent crime rate difference of 2.6 times drops to 1.7 times once researchers account for the likelihood that non-German nationals are twice as likely to be reported to police 1.
The research identifies demographic and social factors as far more influential than cultural background in explaining violent behavior 1. Among serious violent crimes, 0.2 percent of German citizens and 0.6 percent of non-German nationals engage in such offenses 1. When examining attitudes toward violence among youth, 5 percent of German teenagers express positive views of violence compared to 10 percent of youth without German passports 1. Preto emphasizes that family upbringing plays a critical role in shaping violent attitudes 1, and notes that young males, those with lower education levels, and individuals with prior exposure to violence face elevated risk factors for committing violent acts 1.
Preto's team recommends increased government investment in prevention measures, including social skills development beginning in early childhood education and targeted infrastructure improvements 1.
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