DemosAU最新MRP民调显示，澳大利亚工党虽然仅获得27%的第一选择票，却预计将赢得众议院150个席位中的84个，远超获得多数所需的76席1。这项民调于8月4日至9月19日进行，共调查了9740名受访者1，结果表明工党的席位支持度相比5月至7月的民调上升了16席1。
同时，一国党的预期席位大幅下滑，从之前的60席跌至24席，跌幅达36席1。民调还显示工党总理Ben Carroll的好感度净值下滑9个百分点至-111。
A new MRP poll conducted by DemosAU projects that Australia's Labor Party will win 84 of the 150 House of Representatives seats, comfortably exceeding the 76 seats required for a majority, despite garnering only 27% of first-preference votes1. The survey, conducted between August 4 and September 19 with a sample of 9,740 respondents, indicates a significant shift in the political landscape1.
The polling reveals substantial movement in party fortunes since the previous survey period of May to July1. Labor has gained 16 seats in the projected outcome, while the One Nation party has experienced a dramatic reversal, declining from an estimated 60 seats to 24 seats—a drop of 36 seats1. The poll places Labor's seat estimate within a range of 72 to 85 seats1. Additionally, the survey found that Labor Prime Minister Ben Carroll's net favorability has declined by 9 percentage points to minus 111. The DemosAU polling also encompasses electoral projections for state elections in Victoria and Queensland, with Victoria's election scheduled for November 281.
评论
还没有评论，欢迎留下第一条。