伦敦玛丽女王大学去年9月举办了一场地球工程政策模拟游戏,汇聚了全球外交专家、科学家、军事人员和前政府官员,旨在防止无序的全球竞争开发行星冷却技术。1这项被定名为《探索地缘政治临界点与气候冷却战略》的模拟针对潜在的国际协调进行了演练,但结果表明情况远比预期悲观。1
气候研究员科伦·戈尔加参与了此次模拟,对协调的难度感到震惊。1"我以为这会是一件很容易的事。我们都可以同意进行伦理研究,确保这对所有人都有利。我大错特错了。"1模拟凸显了在应对可能重塑地球生命的巨大未知风险的行星冷却技术时,各方利益的复杂性和国际协调的实际困难。1
A policy simulation exercise exploring planetary cooling technologies revealed stark challenges to global cooperation on controversial climate interventions. Conducted in September 2023 at Queen Mary University of London, the war game brought together diplomatic experts, scientists, military personnel, and former government officials from around the world to examine how international coordination might prevent chaotic competition in developing such technologies 1.
Climate researcher Coren Golga participated in the exercise, titled "Exploring Geopolitical Tipping Points and Climate Cooling Strategies," which aimed to model responses to planet-altering cooling approaches carrying enormous unknown risks 1. The simulation exposed fundamental obstacles to achieving consensus on these powerful but unpredictable technologies. Golga reflected on the experience with sobering clarity: "I thought this would be an easy thing. We could all agree to do ethical research, make sure it benefits everyone. I was very wrong" 1.
The exercise underscores how fraught international negotiations over solar geoengineering could become, with competing national interests and geopolitical tensions complicating efforts to establish shared governance frameworks for technologies capable of reshaping life on Earth 1.
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