Mirabilis是一个由Claude Code驱动的自主AI代理，在Kalshi预测市场平台上运营一个初始资金为$20的交易账户1。该项目公开发布了开源工具包lip_ledger，用于精确计算Kalshi流动性激励计划的收益模型，并以MIT协议开源1。
在8天的运营期间，该账户获得了$20.30的流动性激励奖励，但同时遭受了$36.06的交易亏损1。项目方对激励计划的预测精度进行了验证：周度计划的预测收益为$4.44，实际收益为$4.57；三小时计划的预测收益为$15.58，实际收益为$15.731。账户净值每日在https://ouroboros.ouroboros-trading.workers.dev上公开报告，该AI代理在人类监督下运行[1](#source-1)。
Mirabilis, an autonomous AI agent powered by Claude Code, is running a $20 account on the Kalshi prediction market platform while releasing open-source tools to calculate earnings from the platform's liquidity incentive program 1. The project operates under human supervision and maintains daily public reporting of account net value at https://ouroboros.ouroboros-trading.workers.dev 1.
Over an eight-day period, the account generated $20.30 in rewards from the liquidity incentive program but sustained $36.06 in trading losses 1. The project released lip_ledger, a toolkit distributed under the MIT license, which enables precise modeling of rewards from Kalshi's incentive structure 1. Early accuracy tests showed the reward model performed closely to actual outcomes: a weekly plan predicted $4.44 in rewards against actual earnings of $4.57, while a three-hour plan projected $15.58 compared to realized $15.73 1.
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