特朗普政府正在推行美国历史上最激进的移民打击政策。1 美国国土安全部报告已驱逐60.5万人，另有190万人"自行驱逐"。1 该政策包括大规模驱逐行动和冰山执法局巡查。1 与此同时，特朗普政府冻结了微软等主要IT外包商的绿卡申请，对九所顶级大学展开调查。1
专家分析认为，这项政策可能成为特朗普的政治弱点而非优势。1 根据盖洛普6月民调，31%的美国人支持增加移民，29%支持减少，35%主张维持现状，这相比2024年55%的公众支持减少移民的立场已大幅下降。1 在经济学家民调中，被认为是主要关切议题的是通胀（29%）、经济（14%）和总统领导力（10%），移民仅占6%。1
澳大利亚的移民政策可能受到美国这一趋势的影响。1 澳大利亚工党目标将净海外移民从近30万人降至22.5万人/年，而联盟党的目标更进一步降至10万人/年。1
The Trump administration has implemented some of the most aggressive immigration enforcement measures in U.S. history, including mass deportations and expanded ICE operations.1 The Department of Homeland Security reports having deported 605,000 people, with an additional 1.9 million individuals undertaking "self-deportations."1 However, experts suggest this policy approach may become a political liability rather than an asset as the administration approaches the midterm elections in November.1
Public sentiment on immigration has shifted significantly in the United States. According to a Gallup poll from June, 31 percent of Americans support increasing immigration levels, 29 percent favor reductions, and 35 percent prefer maintaining current numbers—a substantial decline from 2024 when 55 percent supported decreases.1 When economists were surveyed on the administration's policy priorities, immigration ranked lowest among concerns at just 6 percent, trailing inflation at 29 percent, the economy at 14 percent, and presidential leadership at 10 percent.1
The administration has also targeted the technology sector, freezing green card approvals for major IT outsourcing companies and launching investigations into nine leading universities.1 Beyond U.S. borders, the outcomes of these policies are expected to influence immigration debates internationally, including in Australia, where the Labor government aims to reduce net overseas migration from approximately 300,000 to 225,000 annually, while the opposition Coalition seeks even steeper cuts to 100,000 people per year.1
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