欧盟贸易专员塞夫科维奇将于8日至9日前往北京，与中方举行关键贸易谈判2。欧盟此举意在争取中国在贸易对话中给出积极信号1，以推动解决双方日益升温的贸易紧张局势。在谈判前夕，德国和法国已提议采取新措施应对中国商品的大量涌入1。
德国总理梅尔茨与法国总统马克宏预计将在10月15日、16日前提出共同文件，要求推动建立新的贸易反制机制2。该提案包括最快可在24小时内限制中国企业进入欧洲市场的措施2。然而，中国商务部对此做出了警告回应，希望法德"不要鼓动欧盟动辄使用保护主义工具"，并警示"避免以错误方式走错误道路并最终反噬自己"2。
此外，中国商务部已于3日宣布对欧盟进口对硝基甲苯发起反倾销调查2。分析人士指出，若此次谈判未达欧盟预期，中欧可能在电动车、化工、光伏、钢铁等领域出现局部贸易冲突2。中国可能选择在农产品、葡萄酒等领域进行反制，同时将稀土等战略性原材料作为更强的后手保留2。
The European Union is intensifying efforts to resolve mounting trade disputes with China through high-level negotiations in Beijing. EU Trade Commissioner Maros Sefcovic will travel to the Chinese capital on August 8-9 to conduct crucial talks aimed at securing positive signals from Beijing on trade dialogue 2. The visit comes as Germany and France prepare to propose new trade defense mechanisms to counter what they view as a flood of Chinese goods into European markets 12.
Prior to Sefcovic's mission, German Chancellor Friedrich Merz and French President Emmanuel Macron are expected to present a joint proposal by October 15-16 that would establish new trade countermeasures, potentially allowing restrictions on Chinese companies' access to European markets within as little as 24 hours 2. Meanwhile, China's commerce ministry has responded with a warning, urging Germany and France "not to encourage the EU to resort to protectionist tools" and cautioning against "walking down the wrong path in the wrong way and ultimately harming oneself" 2. The ministry also announced an anti-dumping investigation into EU imports of para-nitrotoluene 2.
Analysts suggest that if negotiations fail to meet EU expectations, localized trade conflicts could emerge in sectors including electric vehicles, chemicals, photovoltaics, and steel 2. China may retaliate through agricultural products and wine imports while keeping strategic raw materials like rare earth elements as a "stronger trump card" 2.
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